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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Thursday, 22 March 2012
Horseracing embraces sexist thinking (again)
No selection for the blog yesterday and the race I focussed on was a real topsy-turvy one on the exchanges. Eventually, I played a "back-to-lay" trade on TIGER O'TOOLE as I thought he'd be thereabouts at the finish as I expected the front-runners Door Boy, Bold Sir Brian, You Know Yourself and Chance Du Roy to cut each other's throats by battling for dominance. I'm not able to confirm it, but I reckon 4 horses traded at odds-on during the race – including Tiger O'Toole, who was trading at well over 50.0 when he made a huge error at the 9th of the 15 fences. One thing about Chance du Roy, who won the race, is that he is consistent. He's now won 5 of his last 7 chase starts over 2m4f. What put me off him most yesterday was that Phil Hobbs had not had a chase winner at Haydock in the past 5 seasons.
That successful trade on Tiger O'Toole improved my trading record since 1st January is now: Trades = 47; Wins = 28; Trade-outs = 6; Losses = 13. The increase in trading "bank" = 492% and Return On Investment (ROI) = 49.70% (ie. 49.15pts profit from 98.79pts staked).
Some interesting racing today at Chepstow, Carlisle and Fontwell and the 3:10 at Chepstow, which is a 3-mile h'cap chase, looks to have potential. Generally, I like my selection to be a prominent runner as while hold-up horses are more exciting to watch as they produce more thrilling finishes (should they get up on the line and win), hold-up horses can quickly lose interest in a race. I reckon they are a more risky option. In this race there are a couple who will likely be 'in-the-van' and will enjoy the trip and going, they are Bounds And Leaps and Canal Bank. Ballyoliver should also go well, but he looks to have only one gear and will likely get caught-out from the 2nd-last for pace. Jonjo O'Neill, trainer of Canal Bank, has his stable in good form and – despite coming into the race fresh from an 81-day break – he should be up to running well today. Bounds And leaps has a lot of potential at this level and looks an exciting prospect when winning his chase debut over C&D in October but, following a fall NTO at Ascot, his latest run was lacklustre.
At Carlisle, the 4:05 over 3m2f may only have 6 runners but it looks intriguing. A couple of Racing Post tipsters have gone for Blazing Diva, but he won't have it all his own way out in front. Sandofthecolosseum will also dispute the lead, as will Overlady and it may pay to take a view on Kaybeew who will stay this trip well and looked better than his current rating in the autumn. My doubt with Kaybeew is that he is basically slow but grinds out his races. If they go too fast up-front early on, then he could have the door left open, but I reckon Sandofthecolosseum with break his maiden today
No selection as of yet as I was hoping to get a bit more than 11/2 on CANAL BANK in the 3:10 at Chepstow. Ditto in the 4:05 at Carlisle with SANDOFTHECOLOSSEUM, tho' the 4/1 on him isn't too bad.
After thinking overnight on my "fixed-stake" bookies idea (see yesterday's blog), I think it has some legs, especially at meetings with a high proportion of casual racegoers. There are not many race meetings that I attend that I don't have to explain how to place a bet to a racing newcomer, and the simpler we make it the more likely that these new racegoers will have a bet, enjoy the thrill of the experience, hopefully win, and then return for some more.
That said, we've had the enlightening announcement today of a "Ladies" jockeys championship for the Flat racing season. Just when are the old duffer chauvinists in charge or horseracing going to bugger off? Do they not realise how patronising and belittling such gestures are, and how much of a turn-off they make horseracing to 50% of the population of the country? The only reason Hayley Turner does not get more rides in racing is solely due to male prejudice amongst the training ranks. It beats me that virtually every stable in the country has more stable-girls than stable-lads and yet the "powers that be" in horseracing continually views women as a fluffy add-on who are not to be taken seriously. If horseracing is going to flourish in the next 50 years, it has to get real and embrace modern thinking. So let's have an end to "best dressed ladies", "ladies days", "best ladies hat" and all the rest of the sexist paraphernalia. Let's bring women into racing.
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