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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Saturday, 6 September 2014
What did I tell you? 6/1 winner yesterday!
I've been enjoying myself finding winners at useful odds in 6-furlong races this summer on the flat, and long may it continue. There were a couple of pointers to yesterdays winner that should have been picked-up by punters, but they were either ignored or overlooked. Hence the great SP of 6/1. Since being dropped to 6-furlongs (he raced over 7-furlongs for his debut as a 3yo, and has even tried 10-furlongs) he's improved with every run. His only "blot" was a slow start at Windsor in June, so that run is best ignored. He came into this race on a hat-trick, having won at Windsor on 4th August and again at Newmarket LTO when he also recorded his highest ever speed rating in beating the reliable yardstick Best Trip.
His trainer Roger Ingram is based at Epsom, and he's a bit of a "home-bird" - he never likes to stray far from the nest with most of his runners racing at Lingfield, Brighton, Windsor and Kempton. Therefore, when he does go further, it's worth taking note. Yesterday's jockey Jimmy Quinn had only one ride at Haydock and while he's not a prolific winning jockey, he knows his job. As such, I fully expected the horse to be 7/2 or shorter at the off, and so took 8.60 (equivalent to 15/2) on the exchanges and advised those who read my tweets on twitter to do the same. Job done.
Today is a busy day of racing. I've already posted up a "speculative" selection for the days major race - the Betfred Sprint Cup at Haydock at 3:50 - on Twitter, and that's PROFESSOR trained by Richard Hannon. At 8am this morning, the horse was 50/1 and - to be fair - that's possibly reflective of his chance of winning the race. But, I'm not interested in that, as I think this horse has a great chance of being in the 1st-3 home. PROFESSOR absolutely loves Haydock, having won here 3 times in 4 visits. He won here on his last visit over 7-furlongs, however he has plenty of speed as he ran 2nd with 9st 8lb in the Wokingham over 6-furlongs at Royal Ascot in June. I'd prefer the ground to be a bit quicker than "good" so I'm hoping that the sun shines today. Hannon has also booked the useful Irish jockey Chris Hayes, and this is his only ride today. There are not many in this race who are top-class at 6-furlongs, but PROFESSOR is one of them and, with a bit of luck in running as he'll be finishing strong late-on, I can see him take the 3rd spot. Those who are more adventurous could take the 40/1 with Betfred or Ladbrokes who are paying quarter-odds 1,2,3,4.
The best of luck,
from Wayward Lad