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Record of the blog selections

LOSS for the 2016-17 Jumps Season = £40.87

from wagers on 55 individual races (6 winners, 12 placed)

Total Staked = £609.00


Since March 2010, this blog has recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, at cumulative stakes of £5,726 - which has resulted in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 equivalent to a Return on Investment of 26.60%.


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advising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.

Saturday, 12 January 2013

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We had a great day last weekend with the 12/1 winner MONBEG DUDE and don’t forget FRUITY O’ROONEY who was 3rd at 10/1 (both advised as eachway selections).  
We have 3 meetings today at Kempton, Warwick and Wetherby so let’s see what we have in store.
At Kempton, the 2:05 has Bally Legend from my alert list running. I actually don’t think he stays much beyond 2m1f and he’s been one-paced at this trip as a chaser. I don’t think he’ll prove me wrong today. That said, he holds Niceonefrankie, and Cruchain can go well on his day but those days are hard to predict. If Cruchain reproduced his Kempton win in this race last January then he’d be hard to beat as he’s come down the handicap 8lb since then. It’s the horse in 2nd that day that interests me, TRIANGULAR. He may be 17lb worse off with Cruchain on that running but he’s improved since then whereas Cruchain has not. He gets this trip and the ground should be acceptable for him to act on it. He was rated OR140 after winning at Newbury in March, and he races off OR132 today after failing to adapt to Aintree’s National fences (no disgrace in that) and probably needing his seasonal debut at Cheltenham in October, and then not staying 3m2f in the “Badger” and refusing when exhausted 3-out. Current odds of 13/2 (Bet Victor, best odds guaranteed) look good value to me. This is Tom George’s only runner at Kempton today, he is in red-hot form with his stable at the moment, and he’s booked Barry Geraghty to ride. What more do you want?
At Warwick, we have the Betfred Classic Chase over 3m5f at 3:35. Nobody would deny that Pete The Feat has been a revelation since moving to Charlie Longsdon but perhaps this is a visit to the trough too many. He’s meeting some decent chasers today in this and having to give just 4lb to BRADLEY will, I expect, be beyond him. I don’t think BRADLEY appreciated the heavy ground LTO, but on soft ground he’s a very good horse indeed and I think the 7/1 on offer (Bet365 and William Hill) is too good to pass-over. There is nothing that interests me at Wetherby.

Selections
Kempton 2:05, TRIANGULAR, ½pt eachway @ 13/2 (Bet Victor, BOG, 5th odds ew 1,2, 3)
Warwick 3:35, BRADLEY, ½pt eachway @ 7/1 (Bet 365 and Hills, both are BOG and ¼ odds ew)
Also,
¼pt eachway double with Bet365 who are ¼ odds on both races, 6/1 Triangular and 7/1 Bradley
Total = 2½pts staked, at £10 a point that's £25 staked

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