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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Monday, 13 December 2010
Plumpton provides some light relief
That said, the racing even looks fairly good for this course, with the 2m5f novice hurdle at 1:05 providing an interesting field of runners. This race has been won by some progressive sorts in recent years, and I would expect the winner if this race to go into the notebooks. Hendersons’ Skint looks a good sort, as does the Noel Chance runner Brackloon High – but the one that catches my eye is the KIND OF EASY who is a half-brother to Glencove Marina. This will be his hurdling debut and whatever he does today, put him in your notebook.
The novice chase at 1:35 looks good too. Medermit has a few questions to answer, but should be too good for these. Having more than 3 opponents should also help keep his mind on the job in hand.
Weekend racing at Cheltenham
I did not post a blog on Friday or Saturday despite the attractive meeting at Cheltenham – I spent the weekend in the beautiful town of Bath.
Even so, regular readers of the blog will not have been far wrong with a few good winners which have been pointed-out. For instance, MIDNIGHT CHASE merited the comment “unless the handicapper puts him up to over OR160 (which would mean a rise of 14lb) then he must be capable of following-up” after winning LTO. Running off OR155, the handicapper had given him a chance, which he duly took with a gutsy display. Given his fondness for Cheltenham and the bucket-loads of stamina and resolution he possesses, the Gold Cup is on the cards, (3rd pays £50,000, and 4th about £15,000), and he’s worthy of an interest in the betting without the big-3 markets.
MENORAH now looks the business in the Champion Hurdle following his win in the International Hurdle on Saturday. He ended last season on a par with PEDDLERS CROSS on the official ratings, and my immediate reaction to his win in the Supreme Novices was that he would not be good enough this season. Well, I’ve eaten humble pie over this one – but I still think that PEDDLERS CROSS will be the better horse next March, and I would not ignore the chance of the reigning champion BINOCULAR, now out to 5/1. I’ll have a think about this market and may post up some antepost advice later in the week.
MASTER MINDED looks back to his best – if not better than ever! Remember, he won the 2009 Champion Chase at odds of 4/11 (and some thought he should have been more like 1/8). He looks head & shoulders better than anything over the trip and I would grab the 7/4 (2/1 with Bet365) with both hands, as if he wins his next race (likely to be at Leopardstown on 27-Dec) then he’ll be very short odds for the Champion Chase.
POQUELIN winning the 2m5f handicap chase put him at the fore of the Ryanair market at the very generous odds of 6/1. Be honest with yourself, take a look at that market and is there anything in the race that can beat him? Master Minded will take the Champion Chase, Tranquil Sea needs it soft/heavy (and is held anyway IMO), Somersby isn’t good enough, Long Run does not handle the Cheltenham hill. There is only last year’s winner ALBERTAS RUN on 10’s who is capable.
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