No selections for today’s racing at Southwell over the jumps.
I’ve updated the Horse Alert results list and it has been a harrowing job. From the 24 runs to date by horses on the list, only 2 have been winning efforts. It has made me realise that preparing lists of horses to follow is not just a difficult exercise to undertake, but perhaps a worthless exercise altogether. There are a couple of areas of solace: some horses have yet to run; and some have been running in races in which they are totally outclassed. Hopefully, there will be a few winners from the list between now and Grand National day in April.
I am far more happy with my Antepost Selections.
I fully expect Kauto Star to win the re-scheduled King George at Kempton on 15th January, and that will surely affect the odds on Imperial Commander for the Gold Cup. If there is any relaxation in his current odds of 9/2 then grab it with both hands. If Kauto Star and Imperial Commander met in March without the presence of Denman in the same race, then it would be tricky splitting them. But Kauto Star does not seem to enjoy racing against his stable companion Denman. It upsets his jumping as he is unable to dictate the rhythm of the race while Denman “tanks” along in front. It will require a rethink on race tactics by Ruby Walsh on how to cope with Denman – and in the meantime, that plays into the hands of Imperial Commander. I was sincerely hoping that a new challenger would appear from the ranks of younger horses but, as yet, we haven’t seen one.
I am also happy with Peddlers Cross in the Champion Hurdle, and I will have another nibble at him before his next race. Do not ignore Binocular – he is now trading at longer odds than he did after winning the last renewal and yet he’s done nothing wrong in the meantime. He’s been there, done it and has the T-shirt; he demands respect.
As for the Arkle, time is running-out for realistic challengers to Ghizao. I can see him starting the Arkle at under 2/1, such is the superiority of form to others in the race. He is not a talking horse and is, in my opinion, vastly under-rated by the market.
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