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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Tuesday, 18 January 2011
Celebrations tonight at the Eight Bells?
At Southwell, in the opening race at 1:00, KING JACK could take the spoils. Not the best of jumpers, he should appreciate these smaller obstacles. He has been off 301 days, and has needed a run in the past, but even so he looks on a handy mark when you look at the race he won at Huntingdon last February. He does not stay 3-mile, so his next run can be ignored. But LTO, he was going well for a long way till giving-up before 2-out. With several race-fit and consistent rivals in the race, on reflection the current odds of just 6/1 are not generous enough to warrant a wager.
When Jason Maguire rides for Kim Bailey, take notice. He’s won 9 of 32 rides (28%) for Bailey this season, and 7 of those wins have come from just 20 hurdle races (35%). As such, his booking to ride MAX BYGRAVES in the 3:00 at Southwell is interesting. The downside is that MAX BYGRAVES is trying 3-mile for the first time (never run beyond 2m5f before) and the going is also on the soft side for the horse. Again, current odds of 11/2 are not generous to make this horse a selection, in fact at those odds I’d be more inclined to make him a place-lay and lay him at under 2.30 as, apart from the jockey booking, there is little to recommend the horse in this race.
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