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Record of the blog selections

Profit for the 2016-17 Jumps Season = £84.38

from wagers on 26 individual selections (4 winners, 6 placed)

Total Staked = £280.00


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advising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.

Saturday, 24 November 2012

Betfair Chase at Haydock


I am not overly excited about today’s horseracing, as it does not look as good as it should for a Saturday. I had a great day last weekend, so (I’ve no selections in my head as I start writing this) let’s see what we can find.
I have a whole shed-load of horses running today off my alert list. I’ll not be naming them all here as otherwise I’d still be writing this at 3 o’clock.
At Haydock, the going is soft and that’s a bonus as it was expected to be heavy. The handicap hurdle at 12:55 looks very competitive and I’ll not be having a wager in it, but Poole Master is on my alert list as he ran well in the Coral Cup last March for a long way. He could sneak a place, but I can’t see him winning. 
I won a good wedge on QUARTZ DE THAIX when he won LTO, and he’s been raised 9lb to OR139 for that. He won off OR142 as a hurdler and was rated 148 in that sphere, so he’s in with a chance here as I reckon he’s a better chaser – when his jumping hangs together. I think he’ll cope with these today, the only “fly” being Lie Forrit who could be very well treated off OR130 based on his 2nd to Bold Sir Brian last December, but he ran a stinker last month and is on a recovery mission today. There are 2 others off my alert list in this, Going Wrong and Universal Soldier. The latter I think needs to prove himself up to this today, As for Going Wrong, he has not had much luck in his career and would probably be a 150+ chaser now were he injury free, but his broken pelvis of 2 years ago seems to have slowed him down a fair bit. This 3-mile trip should be no problem, but they may be too quick for him even on this soft ground.  QUARTZ DE THAIX @ 4/1 looks fair.
I think everyone will be on SIVOLA DE SIVOLA today in the 2:30 over 3-mile. Connections think very highly of the horse and today’s trip and going are in his favour. At 5/1 he looks a fair wager. The “dark-horse” in the field is Barafundle who I won a fair bit on a couple of years back before he was injured. He could be on a cracking handicap of OR133 if he’s fit.
In the Betfair Chase I’m opposing the fav Long Run with THE GIANT BOLSTER. At 13/2, the runner-up in the Gold Cup is far too long in the market, and he should be under 5/2 for this.
In the 3:40, a 3-mile handicap chase, SUPER ALLY loves the soft going, stays 3-mile well, and always goes best for Timmy Murphy and he can reach the frame at least in this race at decent odds of 12/1. It is a very competitive race, so don’t go overboard – has to be an eachway wager.
At Ascot, I reckon CAPTAIN CHRIS is at huge odds at 4/1 for the Amlin Chase at 2:10. Yes, Finian’s Rainbow is in the race, but I doubt he’ll be able to give 10lb to CAPTAIN CHRIS as he was very consistent in all the races he completed last season.

So then, my wagers for the day are:
Haydock 2:00 – QUARTZ DE THAIX, 1pt win @ 4/1
Haydock 3:05 – THE GIANT BOLSTER, 1pt win @ 13/2
Haydock 3:40 – SUPER ALLY, ½pt eachway @ 12/1
Ascot 2:10 – CAPTAIN CHRIS – 1pt win @ 4/1

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1 comment:

  1. A great day at the races today.
    Quartz De Thaix won in a canter @ 5/1 (was 11/2) and looks capable of winning again.
    Then Captain Chris ran right up to his form of last season and won as I expected @ 7/2 (advised at 4/1).
    The Giant Bolster looks like he needs more schooling as he lost ground at nearly every jump on the 2nd circuit.
    And Super Ally looked like making a race of it till running out of puff at about 2-out.
    On the day, 7pts profit from 4 points staked.
    Throw in places from Poole Master @ 14/1 and Sivola De Sivola and Barafundle and not a bad day at all (if I say so myself).

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