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Record of the blog selections
Profit for the 2016-17 Jumps Season = £84.38
from wagers on 26 individual selections (4 winners, 6 placed)
Total Staked = £280.00
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advising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.
Wednesday, 30 October 2013
Chac du Cadran to take the spoils
We have just the one jumps meeting at Carlisle today and it heralds a cracking spectacle of jump racing for the weekend. Looking ahead, we have a tremendous Wetherby 2-day meeting on Friday and Saturday with the feature race being the Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2). There is an excellent supporting card on both days at Wetherby including a cracking handicap chase on Friday. There is also a very good 1-day meeting at Ascot on Saturday, so plenty to look forward to. Unfortunately, I'm off to the west-country on Thursday morning (returning on Sunday) to see my 11yo son who lives in Cornwall – so altho' I will make every effort to produce a blog on Friday and Saturday, it may well be brief in content and focus on just a couple of races.
Following a wipe-out on Saturday, I want to get back on the winning trail, and there are a couple of horse alert runners for me today at Carlisle.
2:40 – CHAC DU CADRAN
3:50 – SWALEDALE LAD
CHAC DU CADRAN progressed really well as a staying chaser last year considering he was a novice chaser. He ran a couple of tremendous races on soft going, winning over 3m6f at Catterick but, as a front runner, he's more than capable of setting a strong gallop over this extended 3-mile trip. There are 9 going to post, and none can be fully excluded from the considerations. Full Of Joy is a horse I've followed since his chase debut, but he's hard to predict. Dusky Bob is an interesting runner, but he's not a big improver on what he showed last season. My Boy Paddy disappointed last season and he probably wants going a bit more testing that what we have today. Ultra Du Chatelet is a complete unknown at this sort of trip. This looks a fairly ordinary Class 3 handicap chase with a just one horse looking capable of mixing with the big boys later-on this season – CHAC DU CADRAN. Currently 7/1 with BetVictor, and 13/2 elsewhere, those odds look more than decent value as I think he's more like a 4/1 chance and, if he's fully fit to race, on form he should be 5/2. As such, I'm on for £5 eachway and £5 win as it is very hard not to see him not finishing in the 1st-3 as he's a safe jumper of a fence and stamina is not an issue on this ground.
In the 3:50, SWALEDALE LAD is expected to maintain his improvement. He was 2nd behind a good one LTO over C&D and today's softer ground will be to his benefit. Currently 100/30 with BetVictor, Paddy Power and Stan James, that looks fair value in my book as I'd have thought he'd be starting at around 9/4. This is a tricky race tho', as are all novice chases at this stage of the season, so I'm only having a small £5 win stake on as there are a number of decent horses having their chase debut today.
2:40 – CHAC DU CADRAN, for £5 eachway and £5 win @ 7/1 (Betvictor, BOG 5th odds a place 1,2,3)
3:50 – SWALEDALE LAD, £5 win @ 100/30 (BetVictor, Paddy Power and Stan James; all go BOG)
Total staked = £20