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Since March 2010, this blog has recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
For the 2016-17 Jumps Season, this blog recorded a LOSS of £40.87
from wagers on 55 individual races (6 winners, 12 placed)
Total Staked = £609.00
Wednesday, 9 October 2013
Searching for Value
At Ludlow one from my alert list is IMPERIAL CIRCUS who runs today off OR118. Given his hurdle mark is 124 he looks well in, but this is not an easy race as I'm not sure he stays this 3-mike plus trip. As such, odds of 4/1 are not attractive and I'm looking for 5/1+. Unfortunately, he seems to be the most popular tip of the day and those odds seem unlikely.
I think an easier option is at Towcester in the 4:20 with the fav LUCYS GIRL. This mare did not stay 2m7f LTO and this drop in trip will be to her liking as will the ground. Being a class 5 handicap hurdle, there is not much worthwhile form in the opposition, and so odds of 7/2 (Paddy Power and Bet365) look more than fair.
Towcester 4:20, LUCYS GIRL; £20 win @ 7/2
(Paddy Power or Bet365, both BOG)