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Record of the blog selections

Profit for the 2016-17 Jumps Season = £84.38

from wagers on 26 individual selections (4 winners, 6 placed)

Total Staked = £280.00

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advising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.

Wednesday, 9 October 2013

Searching for Value

There are  couple of meetings today with some decent races. I always consider this double bill of Ludlow and Towcester to be the start of the jump season.

At Ludlow one from my alert list is IMPERIAL CIRCUS who runs today off OR118.  Given his hurdle mark is 124 he looks well in, but this is not an easy race as I'm not sure he stays this 3-mike plus trip. As such, odds of 4/1 are not attractive and I'm looking for 5/1+. Unfortunately,  he seems to be the most popular tip of the day and those odds seem unlikely.

I think an easier option is at Towcester in the 4:20 with the fav LUCYS GIRL. This mare did not stay 2m7f LTO and this drop in trip will be to her liking as will the ground.  Being a class 5 handicap hurdle, there is not much worthwhile form in the opposition,  and so odds of 7/2 (Paddy Power and Bet365) look more than fair.

Towcester 4:20, LUCYS GIRL; £20 win @ 7/2
(Paddy Power or Bet365, both BOG)

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