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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Monday, 10 May 2010
Light in the tunnel?
At Brighton, if Noseda sends one here then sit up and take notice. He is 10 wins from 15 runners with 3yo’s and he’s running BRANNAGH (OR77) in the 3:10 (currently 11/8). However, I wouldn’t want to take this short a price with Mark Johnston’s Jay’s Treaty likely to improve on his debut run, and the well-bred Yashrid who could end up OR88+ like 4 other produce of his dam.
In the 3:40, I like the look of RESPLENDENT LIGHT who, after beating Warringah as a 3yo, was considered Listed class. He didn’t make that grade and was penalised for it when returning to handicaps. Now running off OR88, he could lead and not be passed and odds of 5/1 generally (11/2 with Skybet) look generous.
At Redcar, CAWDOR won in solid fashion last time out and he looks likely to follow-up in this claimer at 4:20, especially as his only real opponent on paper – Abbondanzer – wants a mile to show his best and may be caught for speed over this 6f trip. The handicap at 4:50 is one to watch and make note of for the future.
So, just the 2 selections: RESPLENDENT LIGHT @ 5/1 and CAWDOR @ 2/1 (try and get 9/4+).