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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Friday, 16 July 2010
Ice, ice baby!
Review of last week’s racing
Today’s Racing Selections
Review of yesterday’s racing
Yesterday’s selection HIDDEN GLORY, ran a shocker. For his connections, its back to the drawing board. For the blog, 2pts lost.
The background theme to this blog is trainer-form, suggesting that by focusing on trainers who have their stables in top-form and are sending out just 1 or 2 runners from a stable of perhaps over 100 horses is a way to find winners; and identifying them gives you the edge. Yesterday, for instance, punters pal Sir Mark Prescott sent out a single runner – it won at 7/4. What about Roger Charlton? He sent out 2 runners to different tracks – both won at 11/10 and 3/1. How about Ralph Beckett? He sent out 3 runners and had 2 winners (both odds on). Hugh Morrison sent out 2 runners and had a 14/1 winner. Last but not least, I highlighted David Elsworth’s only runner yesterday - MYPLACELATER – and it won at 6/1 (unfortunately, not a blog selection).
Trainers, that’s the way to go!
Today’s Racing Selections
Plenty of racing to choose from today. Avertor was a blog selection a few weeks back but was a non-runner. Roger Charlton has been very selective in looking for a race for this one (whose dam was a sister to Avonbridge, top-class prolific sprinter and winner of Prix de l´Abbaye, and half-sister to Patavellian, also a top sprinter and winner of Prix de l´Abbaye). Avertor is Charlton’s only runner at Haydock this afternoon, in the 2:55 and could prove hard to beat off OR80 as this may turn out to be a group class sprinter (OR110+). The money is down now as he’s just 11/4 from 9/2 this morning.
Of the other meetings, at Newbury there is a class 4 fillies handicap and Paul D’Arcy seems to have found a weak race for his improving filly ICE DIVA. A winner at the 10f trip LTO, before that she was beaten by Agent Charlie a short-head and he’s also won since. The others in the race look like they need to improve a fair bit. Add to that D’Arcy has won 4 from just 10 runners at Newbury in past 5 years and he is very selective with his small stable and odds of 7/2 (Ladbroke) look generous.
Now then, time for a bit of speculation and I’m going for a long-odds each-way double. At Hamilton, willie Haggas sends just BONNIE CHARLIE 360 miles here, and he’s had 6 winners from 12 runners at the track. BONNIE CHARLIE gets the good-to-soft going he craves and a bold run is expected. He’s 14/1 (from 16’s) but dropping, so get in quick. At Pontefract, GO GO GREEN has won here 3 times from 4 starts at the 5-furlong trip. He loves it here and gets the Good-to-Firm going too. He ran very well off OR86 on his last run at 5f (winner Hotham has won again since, as has runner-up Favourite Girl), and he’s dropped to OR83 after a poor run at 6-furlongs.
Newbury ICE DIVA, 2pts win @ 7/2 (Ladbrokes)
Hamilton 7:45 BONNIE CHARLIE @ 14/1
Pontefract 7:35 GO GO GREEN @ 10/1
0.50pts each-way double
Total= 3pts staked
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