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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Wednesday, 9 February 2011
THE KNOXS looks decent prospect
The other horse mentioned, FRENCH TIES, found nothing after jumping the final flight while disputing the lead with the eventual winner.
Today, there are meetings at Carlisle and Ludlow, and a meeting at Punchestown in Ireland.
At Carlisle, the 2:40 – a 2 mile class 4 h’cap chase – has Duke Of Malfi the 4/1 fav. He’s not won at Carlisle in 4 visits, and has only won once from 9 starts on heavy going. As such, I don’t think he’ll enjoy conditions today. It is a class 4 race, so no world beaters in this – but one horse does come into the race with a semblance of form, that’s STORM SURGE. He has been off the track since last May, that’s 256 days. But, he handles soft and he needs a strongly run race, which he should get today courtesy of the fav. I reckon he could run a lot better than his 9/1 odds (Corals) in this.
At Ludlow, I like the look of the class 3 h’cap chase at 4:00. There are lot’s in this with question-marks, including the fav Shadow Dancer. He’s been on my radar a long time now but not gone on to win in ages. As such, I am siding with the 6yo from the in-form Charlie Longsdon stable RESTEZEN D’ARMOR. His odds are not fantastic tho’ at just 11/2.
Carlisle 2:40 STORM SURGE, ½pt eachway @ 9/1 (Corals, best odds guaranteed)
Ludlow 4:00 RESTEZEN D’AMOR, ½pt eachway @ 11/2 (Betfred, best odds guaranteed)
Both firms go 5th odds a place 1-2-3
Total = 2pts staked
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