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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Sunday, 20 February 2011
Skippers Brig wins for Alert List at 12/1
LE BEAU BAI performed best of the 2 selections, staying-on to be 3rd in the Grand National Trial to Silver By Nature. Advised at 9/1, the place at ¼ odds returned a 0.625pt profit for 1pt eachway staked. He ran his usual race, being outpaced mid-race but staying-on strong in the final mile. He is a great place-bet in-running. Silver By Nature is being aimed at the Grand National but, unless the going comes up soft or worse, he’s likely to get outpaced and not be able to peg-back the leaders in that race.
The other selection PALYPSO DE CREEK was disappointing and ran unplaced. The race was won by another off my Horse Alert List SKIPPERS BRIG who I overlooked as I thought he would not stay this 3-mile on the heavy ground. You have to take an interest in any of Nicky Richards runners in the North, beyond that ignore them as they don’t travel well – the stats don’t lie.
This month’s selections – record so far:-
1st Feb, ABSOLUTE SHAMBLES, 1pt win @ 8/1 Lost …c/f (1.00pts)
4th Feb, MASTER SOMERVILLE, ½pt eachway @ 18/1 placed 3rd …+1.30pts, c/f +0.30pts
5th Feb, THEATRICAL MOMENT, ½pt eachway @ 13/2 Lost …c/f (0.70pts)
5th Feb, MAKTU, ½pt eachway @ 6/1 Lost …c/f (1.70pts)
9th Feb, STORM SURGE, ½pt eachway @ 9/1 Lost …c/f (2.70pts)
9th Feb, RESTEZEN D’AMOR, ½pt eachway @ 11/2 Lost …c/f (3.70pts)
11th Feb, ALDERBURN, 1pt win @ 14/1 Lost …c/f (4.70pts)
12th Feb, CHANCE DU ROY, 1pt eachway @ 5/1 placed 3rd … nil pts, c/f (4.70pts)
18th Feb, QHILIMAR, 1pt win @ 15/2 WON …+7.50pts, c/f +2.80pts
18th Feb, FRENCH OPERA, 2pts win @ 7/2 WON …+7.00pts, c/f +9.80pts
18th Feb, ZANIR, ½pt eachway @ 20/1 Lost (fell) …c/f +8.80pts
19th Feb, LE BEAU BAI, ½pt eachway @ 9/1 placed 3rd …+0.625pts, c/f +9.425pts
19th Feb, PALYPSO DE CREEK, ½pt eachway @ 11/1 Lost, …c/f +8.425pts
This is the best set of monthly results for the blog so far this jumps season, and I’m really looking forward to what could be a spectacular Cheltenham Festival for the blog. Take a look at some of the antepost selections (see adjacent page):-
GHIZAO advised at 12/1, now best-priced at 9/2
PEDDLERS CROSS advised at 14/1, now best-priced at 11/2
QM Champion Chase:
FRENCH OPERA advised at 50/1, now best-priced at 25/1
RIVERSIDE THEATRE advised at 16/1, now best-priced at 7/1
The win yesterday by RIVERSIDE THEATRE was marred by the death of Pride Of Dulcote. As such, his performance was only matching his previous efforts, in my opinion. He did however confirm his fitness and well-being, and altho’ there is speculation that Aintree or Punchestown are on the agenda, there is only one Cheltenham Festival and he may never again be in this sort of form with just under 3 weeks to go.
Dunguib won a 3-runner affair in Ireland, beating Luska Lad by 3½ lengths but in 3rd was Gimli’s Rock who is rated OR139. This downgrades the performance, which I make about 155, and that’s just not good enough to win a Champion Hurdle.
I will update my Horse Alert List results and post up a revised set of results sometime during Sunday.
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