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Record of the blog selections

Since March 2010, this blog has recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


For the 2016-17 Jumps Season, this blog recorded a LOSS of £40.87

from wagers on 55 individual races (6 winners, 12 placed)

Total Staked = £609.00


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advising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.

Sunday, 20 February 2011

Skippers Brig wins for Alert List at 12/1

Another good day for the blog – someone should be paying me to write this!

LE BEAU BAI performed best of the 2 selections, staying-on to be 3rd in the Grand National Trial to Silver By Nature. Advised at 9/1, the place at ¼ odds returned a 0.625pt profit for 1pt eachway staked. He ran his usual race, being outpaced mid-race but staying-on strong in the final mile. He is a great place-bet in-running. Silver By Nature is being aimed at the Grand National but, unless the going comes up soft or worse, he’s likely to get outpaced and not be able to peg-back the leaders in that race.
The other selection PALYPSO DE CREEK was disappointing and ran unplaced. The race was won by another off my Horse Alert List SKIPPERS BRIG who I overlooked as I thought he would not stay this 3-mile on the heavy ground. You have to take an interest in any of Nicky Richards runners in the North, beyond that ignore them as they don’t travel well – the stats don’t lie.

This month’s selections – record so far:-
1st Feb, ABSOLUTE SHAMBLES, 1pt win @ 8/1 Lost …c/f (1.00pts)
4th Feb, MASTER SOMERVILLE, ½pt eachway @ 18/1 placed 3rd …+1.30pts, c/f +0.30pts
5th Feb, THEATRICAL MOMENT, ½pt eachway @ 13/2 Lost …c/f (0.70pts)
5th Feb, MAKTU, ½pt eachway @ 6/1 Lost …c/f (1.70pts)
9th Feb, STORM SURGE, ½pt eachway @ 9/1 Lost …c/f (2.70pts)
9th Feb, RESTEZEN D’AMOR, ½pt eachway @ 11/2 Lost …c/f (3.70pts)
11th Feb, ALDERBURN, 1pt win @ 14/1 Lost …c/f (4.70pts)
12th Feb, CHANCE DU ROY, 1pt eachway @ 5/1 placed 3rd … nil pts, c/f (4.70pts)
18th Feb, QHILIMAR, 1pt win @ 15/2 WON …+7.50pts, c/f +2.80pts
18th Feb, FRENCH OPERA, 2pts win @ 7/2 WON …+7.00pts, c/f +9.80pts
18th Feb, ZANIR, ½pt eachway @ 20/1 Lost (fell) …c/f +8.80pts
19th Feb, LE BEAU BAI, ½pt eachway @ 9/1 placed 3rd …+0.625pts, c/f +9.425pts
19th Feb, PALYPSO DE CREEK, ½pt eachway @ 11/1 Lost, …c/f +8.425pts

This is the best set of monthly results for the blog so far this jumps season, and I’m really looking forward to what could be a spectacular Cheltenham Festival for the blog. Take a look at some of the antepost selections (see adjacent page):-
The Arkle:
GHIZAO advised at 12/1, now best-priced at 9/2
Champion Hurdle:
PEDDLERS CROSS advised at 14/1, now best-priced at 11/2
QM Champion Chase:
FRENCH OPERA advised at 50/1, now best-priced at 25/1
The Ryanair:
RIVERSIDE THEATRE advised at 16/1, now best-priced at 7/1

The win yesterday by RIVERSIDE THEATRE was marred by the death of Pride Of Dulcote. As such, his performance was only matching his previous efforts, in my opinion. He did however confirm his fitness and well-being, and altho’ there is speculation that Aintree or Punchestown are on the agenda, there is only one Cheltenham Festival and he may never again be in this sort of form with just under 3 weeks to go.

Dunguib won a 3-runner affair in Ireland, beating Luska Lad by 3½ lengths but in 3rd was Gimli’s Rock who is rated OR139. This downgrades the performance, which I make about 155, and that’s just not good enough to win a Champion Hurdle.

I will update my Horse Alert List results and post up a revised set of results sometime during Sunday.

Thanks for reading this blog to all new visitors.

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Thanks from Wayward Lad

4 comments:

  1. Hi WW,
    Just curious to why you thought Skippers Brig wouldn't stay 3 mile on heavy ground?, when he won his final start for Len Lungo at the distance on Newcastle's Heavy going!

    Otherwise, always a good read
    Anthony

    ReplyDelete
  2. Silver by Nature won very well but I agree for different reasons that he wont win a National, he seems to jump too low and skim the top of the fences and therefore he may be caught out doing this at Aintree and had the old Haydock fences still been in existence he may have been caught out there as well.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi Mate,

    Great blog. Any chance you could do a link swap with my blog?


    Cheers

    James

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hi Wayward Lad,
    I've recently come across your blog and think it's a right good read with good reasoning and decent results. You seem to have excellent knowledge of the game.
    Can I ask what your tools are for analysis and making selections - do you make use of the RP/ATR websites or do you prefer to have things written down in black and white, e.g Timeform/Weekender etc and make your own notes?? Which info sources do you recommend and use day in day out? Thxs.

    ReplyDelete