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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Saturday, 19 February 2011
Two winners yesterday & 13.50pts profit
What a day, with 2 winners from the 3 selections provided, including the 2pt win on FRENCH OPERA. What a ride he was given by Barry Geraghty, he took the race apart. I advised taking the 50/1 on offer from Corals for the Champion Chase (see my antepost advices page) last Saturday morning, and boy has this come good. By my reckoning, that was one of the best 2-mile performances we’ve seen this season. I would say only Master Minded has bettered it when winning the Tingle Creek last December at Cheltenham. As Geraghty will not desert Big Zeb, someone is up for one helluva spare ride!
That was followed up by QHILIMAR, who I advised at 15/2 in the morning (I just missed 8’s from Corals) and who eventually started at an SP of 4/1. He got up to win on the line, but they all count. If you read my Alert List I even suggested how to play the race. The horse hit his usual flat spot, and touched 25’s plus in-running on Betfair as they jumped the “railway” fences, but then he stayed-on like a good’un.
The other selection ZANIR fell when 4th 2-out, but he was not enjoying the very soft going and would not have been placed had he finished.
So, that was 13.50pts profit on the day taking the blog into 8.80pts profit for the month.
The winning selections received a good reception on twitter, and some suggested they’d put them in double and trebles, so good results all round. Remember, I don’t charge for this blog it is free-to-view. So, if you have benefitted from today and you want to share some of your winnings with the writer of this blog and reward his efforts, make a donation. You would not think much of leaving a 10% tip for a good meal.
There are 3 good meetings today at Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton.
With such a lot of quality racing the objective is to find 1 or 2 solid performers that you can rely on – you cannot hope to try and find the winner in every race.
At Ascot, Riverside Theatre should win the Ascot Chase over this 2m5f if he’s as good as they say (I don’t think he is). Personally, I hope he is but at 7/4 in this quality field he is no value at all.
The heavy going at Haydock will be tough for all contestants, especially in the National Trial chase over 3m4f. SILVER BY NATURE is one of the few horses to beat the now retired Our Vic on heavy going when winning this last year. But he only carried 10st 11lb then and he’s got 11st 12lb today. As such, altho’ I think SBS will run well, I am going for LE BEAU BAI who loves heavy going and has been running really well this season without winning. He drops to OR137 today which is 2lb less than his last winning chase mark of OR139 when he won on heavy at Cheptstow in Dec’09. At 9/1 there is no fat in his odds, so if you can get longer odds take them. My wager of the day is in the next race, a 3-mile h’cap hurdle. It’s from the Horse Alert List and he won for us the other week, its PALYPSO DE CREEK. The trip and going are no problem at all, and he should be full of confidence from his hurdle win 2 weeks ago. Currently at 11/1, that is huge for a horse with his potential ability running off OR132 as I think he is possibly a OR145+ chaser.
The meeting at Wincanton hosts the Kingwell Hurdle and it looks a decent renewal. Mille Chief needs to win if he has serious Champion Hurdle pretensions, but at just 7/4 as I write, I’ll use my money elsewhere.
Haydock 3:20, LE BEAU BAI, ½pt eachway 9/1 – available generally, best odds guaranteed.
Haydock 3:55, PALYPSO DE CREEK, ½pt eachway 11/1 – available generally, best odds guaranteed.
Total = 2pts staked
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