The 404th edition of the Wayward Lad Blog.
Yesterday's selection (not posted on monitoring websites) WYKE HILL, ran a decent 2nd at an SP of 15/2. He never looked in danger of finishing outside the places, hence my assessment that his true odds were more like 4/1 and, as he was 13/2 when I posted my blog his SP was fair enough. My only gripe is that just seconds before the off, several online bookmakers were offering odds of 9/1 and he was at 8/1 with just about everyone else – so why only 15/2 return as the SP?
Today with heavy going at Exeter and Towcester is not being my most favourite track from a punting point of view, coupled with my opinion that both meetings are fairly ordinary, I'm not making any selections today and giving racing a miss. There will be better days and easier targets (hopefully) over the next couple of days which look like being very entertaining.
It will also give me some time to catch up and up-date my alert list which – if I say so myself – has been hitting the target with some consistency of late. I find it much easier to spot future winners over the jumps when comparing the form on the day a horse last ran and finding performances that have been under-rated by either the Official Handicapper or the renowned rating service RPR (Racing Post Ratings) than I do studying the form on the day when time is usually the biggest factor between success and failure.
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