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advising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.

Saturday, 12 June 2010

AVERTOR

In today’s blog:
World Cup Specials
Today’s Selections
Review of yesterday’s blog
Betting on the Exchanges

World Cup Specials
Not a good start with South Africa scoring first and Mexico equalizing (having had the best of the game) so the draw cost us 1pt (£10).
And Uruguay were unable to score against France, tho’ they did go down to 10-men; and we lost another 1pt (£10) there. With our initial £100 reduced to £80 on the 1st day the policy is cautious today.
I’m on South Korea to beat Greece, but I’ll go “draw no bet” with £6.70 on South Korea @ 9/5 with the Tote and £3.30 on the draw @ 21/10 also with the Tote.

For the Argentina V Nigeria game we could see an attacking Argentina rip Nigeria apart.
England v USA is a game that will have many fans hiding behind the sofa, it will be painful to watch!
That said, they should at least score a goal.
The South Korea game is about to start so I’ll post this blog and add my bets on the other games later.

Today’s Selections
Plenty of racing today, but the focus will be on the World Cup.
Even so, there is only one that catches my eye today and that’s AVERTOR in the Sandown 4:05. This is Roger Charlton’s only runner today and this trainer is bang in form. With 4 wins in past 5 days from just 11 runners. We may have missed the boat as it opened at 8’s this morning (with Paddy Power) and is now best-price at 9/2 with Sportingodds and the Tote. There is nothing in the formbook to recommend it, other than it probably did not like the AW last time out. However, AVERTOR’s dam was Avonbridge (winner of the Prix de L’Abbeye) and a half-sister of Patavallian (also a winner of the Prix De L’Abbeye) so, the potential for improvement as a 4yo is immense. That, and its Charlton’s only runner and there is so much racing to choose from, suggests they are going to Sandown for a reason and that is to win.

Sandown 4:05 – AVERTOR 2pts win @ 9/2

Review of yesterday’s blog (Friday 11th June)
It was the right move to “pass” on Stoute’s 2 runners at Sandown, both were 2nd at 3/1 and 4/1. Ditto, Captain Carey who was the fav at 7/2 but was being ridden over a furlong out and was a well beaten 6th.
At Market Rasen, Chorizo (a previous C&D winner) was the only runner of the day for in-form trainer RC Guest (6w: 7p: 29r) and won at 9/. Even better in the next race when trainer Mrs Normile’s only runner of the day made it 3 wins from 5 runners here with Strobe at 12/1.
Also, Hugh Morrison has hit form having had 4 wins from 8 runners in past 5 days. He has 5 running today, so no possibility of singling one out, but keep an eye open for solitary runners next week.


Betting on the exchanges
There’s not so many blog visitors of a weekend so I’ll post my next Exchange Betting strategy on Monday.

4 comments:

  1. Didn't have time to post my bets for the other 2 World Cup games prior to the kick-off of the South Korea Greece game.
    For England v USA it's £8.50 @ 8/15 on England to win and £1.50 on the draw @ 3/1, both with Bet365.
    For Argentina v Nigeria it's £9.00 @ 4/9 on Argentina to win and £1.00 on the draw @ 7/2, both with Stan James.
    After 5 mins South Korea are ahead!

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  2. Correction: AVERTOR's dam was a full sister to Avonbridge and half-sister to Patavallian.

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  3. Avertor certainly has a good draw in 10 and having only run 4 times does look open to improvement. The more it dries out the better for him as well as I think fast ground suits horses by Oasis Dream. There doesnt seem to be a great deal in depth to the race either.

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  4. That's more like it on the World Cup! Great win for South Korea (+£8.76) who outclassed Greece and a solid win for Argentina (+£3.00). World Cup Bank is now £91.76.

    AVERTOR was a non-runner.

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