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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.

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Saturday 29 October 2011

DIAMOND HARRY to take the Charlie Hall

The 368th edition of the Wayward Lad blog.

A cracking days sport beckon with excellent meetings at Ascot and Wetherby.

At Wetherby we have the Charlie Hall chase at 3:20 and if DIAMOND HARRY is in the same form today as he was when fresh for the Hennessey last autumn, then he will take a lot of beating. Odds of 3/1 with both William Hill and Bet365 are too long as he has nothing to prove, whereas the others all have question-marks. Weird Al (one of my horse's to follow last season) is an interesting entry as I thought he'd go for the 3-mile chase at Ascot. He is my idea of an eachway horse if that is your fancy.

At Ascot, I looks near impossible for me to see TAKEROC not winning the 2:30 and his jockey Harry Derham has won 2 from 4 rides this season for Paul Nicholls. TAKEROC in my book should be less than 2/1, so odds of 11/4 with William Hill are generous.

Lastly, the 3-mile chase at Ascot at 3:40 looks a tremendous race and yet I cannot see past MUIRHEAD. He has the class to defy his OR147 rating today as he hacked-up LTO. Odds of 8/1 look extremely generous despite him having to renew rivalry with Bideford Legend. A previous winner for the blog Balthazar King could upset the selection, but I remain confident in MUIRHEAD.

Selection:
Wetherby 3:20, DIAMOND HARRY, 1pt win at 3/1 (William Hill & Bet365)
Ascot 2:30, TAKEROC, 1pt win at 11/4 (William Hill)
Ascot 3:40, MUIRHEAD, 1pt eachway at 8/1 (Bet365)
Total = 4pts staked (all bookmakers named go best odds guaranteed)

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