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Record of the blog selections

LOSS for the 2016-17 Jumps Season = £40.87

from wagers on 55 individual races (6 winners, 12 placed)

Total Staked = £609.00


Since March 2010, this blog has recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, at cumulative stakes of £5,726 - which has resulted in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 equivalent to a Return on Investment of 26.60%.


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advising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.

Wednesday, 22 February 2012

Watering commences at Cheltenham

The 439th edition of the Wayward Lad blog.

As I write, it has been announced that watering of the course at Cheltenham has commenced. What this means is that the likelihood is the going will be "good-to-soft, good in places" on the opening day and will get quicker during the meeting which is pretty much what has happened for the past couple of years. That's good news for those horses that ran well on Thursday and Friday last year – the likes of Noble Prince, Big Bucks, Bueana Vista, Albertas Run etc.

My thoughts yesterday on Medermit's chances in the Ryanair brought a comment from the Lonesome Pundit (who writes a good blog and he's running an antepost Cheltenham competition) who thought I was a bit harsh on the horse. Opinions are what make racing and even Medermit has a chance at winning the Ryanair. However, Somersby (2nd in the Arkle behind Sizing Europe) beat him in November at Ascot on level terms, and Riverside Theatre did the same last Saturday. I stand by what I say about his current odds for the Ryanair, and you also have to consider his trainers' (Alan King) comments after Saturday's race. He offered no excuse, "beaten by the better horse" was his words, so he's not expecting to reverse form with Riverside Theatre when they next meet. Given the favourite for the last two Ryanair's – Poquelin – is 20/1 with some books, and he's run the joint highest RP Rating this season of those entered in the race, I thought he'd be the Pricewise antepost selection. If he's considered a 20/1 chance for the race, in my opinion MEDERMIT should be at no shorter odds.

At Taunton yesterday, the morning market move for Velator paid-off and he won well. Clearly, that support came from connections as when that was exhausted his odds drifted during the afternoon from 11/2 out to an SP of 10/1. Later, Sire De Grugy gave a huge boost for the form of ZARKANDAR who beat him in the Betfair Hurdle last Friday.

At Wetherby, Wolf Moon was a non-runner but, in the earlier novice handicap chase, RAILWAY DILLON will have gone into many a notebook when he tore apart what looked to be a decent field very easily.

Today, we have a couple of jump meetings at Doncaster and Ludlow. THE COCKNEY MACKEM looks to have been given a huge chance in the 2:25 at Doncaster so long as he stays this 3-mile trip – he's never raced further than 2m3f. The 3-mile h'cap hurdle at 4:05 looks a cracking contest with 18-runners. There are several from my horse alert list running and of those I reckon Chac Du Cadran (currently 11/1) can nick a place; it looks an open contest.

At Ludlow, KING OF CASTILE goes for a hat-trick of wins since joining Jim Best of Lewes. He's a bit of a thorn in my side this one, as he was the horse offered to me by Bechers-Brook, the tipster who is no longer trading. Nothing else looks interesting.

For those who are interested, my Betfair "trade" was successful yesterday (it was a back-to-lay on Hobbs Dream) and my record since 1st January is now: 29 trades / 16 "wins" / 7 "losses" / 6 "trade-outs"; the ROI stands at +43.20%.

Thanks for reading this blog to all new visitors, and I hope that you get enjoyment from it.

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Betting on horseracing should be a pleasurable experience - never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Thanks from Wayward Lad.



1 comment:

  1. Hi Ian,

    Good blog and you are right opinions are what makes racing. For what it's worth I think his price is too short at 13/2 as it is in places. Likewise I think if you backed Somersby at 16/1 then your happy.
    Albertas Run would interest me if fitness is guaranteed. Terrific course form and seems to come into his own in the spring.
    Likewise as you say Poquelin is a big price at 20s and probably would be the one I'd back with a gun to my head as an ante-post at the minute. Surprised Pricewise didn't go for him.
    The other one that appeals slightly on price is Realt Dubh - does look a cracking race - wide open!!

    ReplyDelete