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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Thursday, 14 January 2016
Catterick Yorkshire National
The current fav is Nial 'M at 9/2, and he last won at Sedgefield over 3m2f in March 2014. He was then off the track for 18 months before returning last November when he probably needed the run. He followed that up with an improved effort LTO and I'm expecting him to go close today but, his odds do not represent value given the ground conditions - this will be a gruelling race.
Jack The Legend won his chase debut here at last season (March 2015) over 3m1f, and the he won his seasonal debut over hurdles at Sedgefield over 3m3f. He followed that up with a decent effort her at Catterick over 3m1f when he looked better the further he went. As such, this marathon trip could be just what he wants.
As I've already hinted at, this race will likely be gruelling and, given the conditions, a case can be made for several of the runners even those at long odds, such as last years winner Scotswell (20/1), Delgany Demon (20/1) who ran a cracker at Exeter earlier this season but who has followed-up, and LTO winner Valleyofmilan (14/1).
However, most of this field look exposed, whereas JACK THE LEGEND has only had 3 chase runs and looks underrated by the handicapper. Hopefully, some of you have taken the early 10/1 that was available with Corals following my "heads-up" yesterday, as he's now best-priced at 15/2, and he is the wager.
Catterick 2:50pm JACK THE LEGEND; £5 eachway & £5 win @ 15/2 (Paddy Power & Bet Victor)