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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Sunday, 27 March 2011
AP O'Brien runs a Derby hopeful at Leopardstown
The blog selection yesterday SCOTS DRAGOON stayed on well enough to grab 3rd spot from Ogee after having looked like being tailed-off at one point. Jockey David Bass was hard at work from a long way out and much credit to him for getting the horse home in the money. The ½pt eachway stake returned a 0.4375pt profit. SCOTS DRAGOON should remain on this rating and on slightly quicker going NTO he should go very well. I expect him to take another try at the Scottish National as he clearly stays on well beyond 3m2f and should get the quick going he needs there. He was 12/1 last year when running off OR127, so if he goes there on just OR115 which is what he ran off yesterday then he’ll be worthy of a wager.
The fav Ogee ran a poor race; I did say he had it all to prove after an unconvincing run with conditions in his favour when last seen on the track. Also, I was on the button with suggesting Ruby Walsh was not good for Maktu. Walsh has a poor record when riding outside his retainers for Nicholls and Mullins. For me, Maktu stays 3-mile and not much further, and he had nothing more to give from the 2nd-last here. Rey Nacarado may have won the race, but he only out-stayed Maktu and if he’s raised more than a few pounds for this he may suffer.
Ireland starts the “flat” season in style today with a cracking meeting at Leopardstown. There are Guineas trials which should be interesting, but I’m looking at the final race on the card where O’Brien runs APACHE, a full brother to Cheshire Oaks winner Perfect Truth. He is bred to win a Derby and holds an entry (he’s 40/1) for the June race. He looks the type to improve a fair bit as a 3yo.
No selections today.
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