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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Thursday, 10 March 2011
Some Festival snippets
This result is as a benefit of studying the results and marking-up horses with potential from the Weekender results pull-out produced every Wednesday. This week, the Weekender has been fully revised and I reckon it’s the best £2.50 any follower of the horses can spend.
So far this week, I’ve mentioned 5 horses on the blog and, had you placed an eachway bet on all of them, only one would not have resulted in a positive return. What I cannot work out is that with over 500 twitter followers (and I tweet the moment I update my blog page) I had only 213 page views yesterday, of which only 114 happened before the start of the race I reviewed (the 3:30 at Fontwell). As the saying goes; you can lead a horse to water, but you can't make it drink!
There are some good meetings today at Wincanton, Carlisle and Folkestone, but I’m not finding any value. The only horse that looks of interest is the infamous ROMNEY MARSH who was ridden to a finish a circuit early LTO by Hadden Frost. He runs in the 4:30 at Folkestone. Clearly, his last run can be ignored but what interests me is the last time Mattie Bachelor was in the saddle (I like Mattie, he rode Vamizi at Exeter on Tuesday and this is his only ride today) the horse was 2nd to Aztec Treasure at Towcester. That was on good going, which is what he’ll be on today, and trainer Roger Curtis is 3 wins from 13 chase runs here.
In the past 14-days, Alan King has sent out 10 “favs” and only 2 have won. His stable is not doing well and I am happy to lay his short-priced runners such as Midnight Appeal (3:35 Wincanton) and Management (4:40 Wincanton).
Festival thoughts with the 4-day declarations for Tuesday now available. A few snippets of interest:-
In the Supreme Novices Hurdle, Cue Card goes for this and not the Champion Hurdle. It may be a foregone conclusion, but there are still the places to go for and the only mare in the race MEGAN’S STAR, unbeaten and a 6yo, fits the bill.
In the Arkle, I am surprised that Mikael d’Haguenet is still in the race, but the rumours are he’ll go for the RSA later in the week.
For the Stewart Family H’cap chase, I reckon Nicky Henderson is having a good go this year, and he has 2 entries that tick the boxes; Carole’s Legacy and Quantitativeeasing. Of the 2, it’s CAROLE’S LEGACY who was 2nd to Quevega in the Mare’s Hurdle last year that interests me the most. She is quality. However, if a couple more come out, then I’m having a good punt on THE RAINBOW HUNTER. Game as they come, he jumps like a stag, stays all day and, on just 10st 3lb, he’ll be a devil to beat.
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