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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Sunday, 24 April 2011
FRENCH OPERA caps a good day for the blog
FRENCH OPERA won like the ‘good thing’ I thought he was, and my only regret was not having more on him. I’ve supported him in 4 of his 5 runs this season and he’s won for me twice, collecting 5.67pts profit along the way. A genuine horse that always gives his best; I’d like to find a few more like him. The downside is that he’ll pay for his consistency with a ratings hike and, in my opinion, he isn’t OR162 (I rate him 160 at best, and this was about 157) so any hike up from OR162 will make handicaps a thing of the past.
Just 30 mins later, CALYPSO MAGIC looked like making it 2 wins from 2 selections on the day when he led from the off and had them all off the bridle with 2-furlongs to run. In the end, he had nothing left to fend off the challenge of the eventual winner Glen’s Diamond. The winner was running in his seasonal debut and based on this performance he looks capable of running to OR100+. Even tho’ beaten, I’d certainly consider wagering on CALYPSO MAGIC again on a track favouring front-runners such as Musselburgh.
Highlight of the day was the Bet365 Gold Cup at Sandown and, unfortunately for me, the horse that caught my eye in the morning POKER DE SIVOLA went on to win the race without my money on him. Only true believers in his ability would have thought he had any chance of winning jumping the “pond” fence (3rd last) but he stayed on best of all up the Sandown “slope” (it’s not a hill).
Overall on the day, the blog finished 1.17pts in profit on the day and is now just 0.83pts down in the month of April.
No selections today, but the racing at Sandown should be watched for future pointers. I was really taken with the run by AULD BURNS (Sandown 3:50) when winning LTO and his half-brother Pickle improved a lot during his 3yo season for Hannon. If he improves as much as his half-bro then he could easily win this race, but the presence of the AP O’Brien runner Jackaroo, plus the likes of Dordogne and Hurricane Higgins make this a “no-bet” race for me.
Glencadam Gold went into a few notebooks when 2nd on his seasonal debut 10-days a go, and as such he’s the 5/2 fav for the 4:55 at Sandown, a class 3, 10f h’cap for 3yo’s only. However, I note that Jeremy Noseda has just one out today and that’s CLUB OCEANIC ridden by Frankie Dettori. He is a full brother to Mac Love who was a multiple Group 3 winner between 7f – 10f, so this trip should be within his scope and the going will also suit, especially if the sun makes it firmer by the time of the race. Also factor in Dettori – when he rides for Noseda then take note. Last season he won on 8 of his 25 rides for Noseda, with 3yo’s providing 5 of those winners from just 14 rides. At odds of 9/1, he may warrant a small wager, but you have to know that Samurai Sword is entered for the Dante (G2) at York, as well as a couple of Group 1’s this summer, so he is highly regarded by his connections.
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