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Since March 2010, this blog has recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Tuesday, 26 July 2011
Glorious Goodwood - Day 1
No selections were posted-up by me on Betting League yesterday (Monday), but there should be a selection today on what looks a very attractive days racing. It is the opening day of “Glorious Goodwood”, tho’ having driven along the south coast from Brighton to Portsmouth this morning it does not look potentially glorious weather to me. The forecast is that is that the cloud will burn-off and going should remain consistent through the day.
Despite being one of the most anticipated meetings of the summer, the quality of racing at Goodwood this week can be a bit like the course – up and down. As such, there are a few races that I will avoid like the plague and the first off the list (unless you have stronger nerves than me) is the 5f class 3 handicap that closes the day’s racing at 5:25. I reckon you could have 6 goes at finding the winner in this race, and still be on a loser.
The 2yo races are not my cup o’ tea. The Molecombe may be a Group 3, but it is not the easiest race to fathom. If you’re playing it, take note that Andrew Balding (trains Charles The Great) is 0 from 25 with 2yo’s at Goodwood. That BORIS GRIGORIEV is 1 of only 3 horses sent over by AP O’Brien suggests that particular attention should be paid to him despite his lack of form.
The handicaps today look nightmarish, tho’ I know a lot of tipsters out there love the challenge. Goodwood is not a track that benefits those that have to come from off the pace with a run – unless they are incredibly well-treated and in possession of bucket-loads of luck. As such, I’m going to give both of the remaining handicaps a wide berth too.
Saying that, I expect Sir Michael Stoute to get off to a good start in the opening races with MODUN and FIORENTE. My doubts on MODUN are that his speed figures are not great.
That leaves just the Group 2 Bet365 Lennox Stakes over 7-furlongs. If Strong Suit is up to his Royal Ascot form (and there is no reason he won’t be) then he will take a lot of beating. He is easily the best of the 3yo’s, and 3yo’s have a great record in this race. Altho’ Delegator is a very good horse, and he ran a great race LTO from an awful draw, whether he can give Strong Suit 11lbs today is debatable over a trip that is perhaps not his best. For me, the danger is Red Jazz for whom 7-furlongs is his best trip. He may have been in need of a rest when flopping in this race last year as he’d had a busy campaign up to then. Today's conditions will be perfect for Red Jazz tho' and he will relish a return to 7-furlongs.
So, what is my selection today? Take a look at Betting League, that’s where you will find it, the link is adjacent and it’s free, won’t cost you a penny.
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