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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Wednesday, 25 May 2011
Tremendous 6/1 winner yesterday
We hit the back of the net with DUBAI DYNAMO @ 6/1 yesterday who won with a tonne in-hand. I’ve been following this horse since July last year when he ran in (what was) the Bunbury Cup off a rating of OR99. He won yesterday off OR85, so he has plenty of scope for a follow-up.
But, what a write-up on the race.
Of Snow Bay (finished 3rd), I wrote “won’t be far away”; and of Bea Remembered (finished 4th), I wrote “she looks better than a 16/1 chance”; and of Lord Aeryn (finished 2nd) I wrote “is no value at 3/1”. Just 4 horses mentioned in the race and they finished 1,2,3,4 – and I selected the winner!
DUBAI DYNAMO won in the fashion of a Stewart Simpson (“Always Back Winners”) horse, showing a tremendous turn-of-foot. I’ve been following this horse since it ran in the Bunbury Cup (type his name into my blog search facility) and he’s entered to run at Newcastle tomorrow (Thursday) plus he holds entries for Friday and Saturday.
I can’t say the same thing about the other blog selection, FRANCISCAN. I really thought Luca Cumani had a decent one here (and perhaps he still does, but there’s plenty of work required) but, other than stay-on, it was very disappointing. It looks like I read too much into his win at Haydock back in April – he’s out of the Notebook.
I led with a headline on Sir Mark Prescott and, yesterday, he did me proud. He sent out 3 horses, to 3 different tracks, and the only one beaten was that ridden by his stable jockey Seb Sanders! At Ripon, Motivado won the race contested by FRANCISCAN (but he did not look particularly exciting), and at Chepstow the horse I described as “bred to run in the Derby” - KEPLER’S LAW – won in a canter at 5/2 (he was 4/1 in the morning when I wrote about him). I said he was worth a speculative wager, and perhaps I should have made him a selection (I certainly would if I’d known Motivado was going to win at Ripon). I will be adding KEPLER’S LAW to my alert list immediately as he is far better than his OR57 rating (full bro’ Bashkirov is still in training in Ireland, was btn less than 5-lengths in the Irish Derby). His half-bro’ Summitville was 2nd in the Group 1 Sun Chariot Stakes and rated OR109.
When it comes to wagering on the horses, patience is a virtue, and you should never be in a rush to place a bet. Today’s meeting at Ayr (on the flat) is one I can happily pass-over. The meeting this evening at Beverley is more interesting. Frankie Dettori rides Solicitor who won over C&D last July. He holds a few other entries this weekend, and if he’s fit enough then he’ll take some beating today which will prime him for a follow-up under a penalty.
The 2yo fillies race at 7:30 is one to watch as Tim Easterby won this race several times in the early “noughties” and his QUEENS REVENGE (owned by respected judge Henry Ponsonby) could be the best of these here today.
No selections at the moment, but if I decide on one this evening at Beverley, then I will post a supplementary blog later this afternoon before 5pm. So, please return to this blog after 5pm to see if there is a selection.
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