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Record of the blog selections

LOSS for the 2016-17 Jumps Season = £40.87

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advising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.

Tuesday, 7 June 2011

Fallon makes long trip to Redcar

This is the 293rd edition of the daily blog page.

A brief look at the day’s racing.
Just 2 meetings on the Flat at Redcar and Salisbury.

The Salisbury meeting has an interesting fillies handicap at 4:30 over a trip just shy of 10-furlongs. I reckon the fav Istishaara can be opposed in this. Trainer John Dunlop, has had his 3yo’s in tip-top form this Spring and she would not have lacked fitness LTO. At 7/4, she looks too short and so there must be value elsewhere. The 2nd-fav Miss Chicane won what looks like a weak handicap last month and she needs to improve a lot on that run. Isolate is unproven on the going (tho’ could be interesting) and Saint Helena is suffering for running in the Lingfield Oaks Trial for which her rating has been raised 12lbs to OR84. The one I like is GOLDTREK who will appreciate the going (food-to-firm) and stays 12-furlongs so this trip is within her compass. She is also a front-runner and therefore she will undoubtedly make it a test of stamina. I can see her leading all-the-way and at 8/1 (available generally) she is a worthy eachway wager.

At Redcar, there is a strong mile handicap (Class 3) at 3:35. The fav Boom And Bust looks progressive and the 6lb hike for winning LTO may not be enough to prevent him winning. However, he won’t be able to dominate this race with San Cassiano running and so the race may be set up for a finisher. There is a lot of support for Collateral Damage and the horse has come down a long way in the weights since his last win (he is 21lb better off with Reel Buddy Star from when they met in this race last season) but he is a one-paced horse these days. It is the booking of Kieren Fallon on NORTHERN FLING that takes my eye. This horse started out as a sprinter, but in May last year he won over 7f with Fallon aboard at Ayr. The horse needs a strong pace, and he’ll get it here and Fallon should be able to find him the gaps to come with a run. At 12/1 with William Hill, he is a good eachway wager.

Selections
Salisbury 4:40, GOLDTREK, ½pt eachway @ 8/1 (available generally)
Redcar 3:35, NORTHERN FLING, ½pt eachway @ 12/1 (William Hill, best odds guaranteed)
Total = 2pts staked

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4 comments:

  1. Thanks for the tip, I 've got a small wager on Fallon now

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  2. Fallon was hard at work a long way out and Northern Fling was well beaten. BOOM AND BUST benefitted from a change in tactics and took up running just after 2f-pole and won well.

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  3. No luck today with the blog selections and 2pts lost. GOLDTREK was subject to some strong market support and looked like making a bold bid when a clear leader with 2f to run. But, he emptied quickly when challenged, and was disappointing.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Thankyou for the comment son the blog and for letting me know about the bad link, looks like it was corrupt.Hope it is working fine now...

    Good Luck for Royal Ascot....

    ReplyDelete