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LOSS for the 2016-17 Jumps Season = £40.87
from wagers on 55 individual races (6 winners, 12 placed)
Total Staked = £609.00
Since March 2010, this blog has recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, at cumulative stakes of £5,726 - which has resulted in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 equivalent to a Return on Investment of 26.60%.
Monday, 13 June 2011
Royal Ascot this week
I am still bathing in the glory of 7/1 winner LORD AVON on Saturday. The only disappointment is that “donations” have been lacking. While I don’t expect to make a living from blog donations (and, to be fair, my strikerate is not great) I would have hoped that more than a few of the 500-odd readers of the blog on Saturday were able to take advantage of just the one selection from a day’s racing including 5 meetings on the Flat.
Next week, I depart for 2 weeks holiday in Ibiza and, after that, I will probably experiment with the blog format. At various times over the past 5 or 6 years, I have posted-up my selections on the likes of http://www.tipexchange.co.uk/ or http://www.bettingleague.co.uk/ and for the months of July, August & September, I am intending posting my selections only on sites such as these, but still providing a daily narrative reviewing the day’s horseracing. Writing a blog such as this does take a fair amount of time and effort and, while I would do the form-study anyway for my own purposes, if readers benefit from my observations and opinions then I think it’s only fair that they contribute to the upkeep of the blog.
As always, my over-riding edict is to… “provide an informative and entertaining blog which provides the reader with advice on horseracing.”
There are some cracking horseracing blogs out there, and those I’ve found are listed on here. Amongst them are the likes of http://sprinterstogo.blogspot.com/ which is in terrific form this month. For instance, “The Laird” who writes the blog “Sprinterstogo”, shortlisted just 4 horses for the 3:25 at Doncaster yesterday, and 3 of those filled the 1st-3 places – the tricast payout was £374.32.
It is Royal Ascot this week, and so racing today on the Flat is fairly mediocre with a solitary meeting at Carlisle this afternoon, and meetings at Windsor and Warwick. Carlisle looks like a meeting were I may well be laying the fav’s.
Warwick has its own Warwickshire Oaks as the highlight at 7:40, and I am going to oppose the fav Timepiece in this as I am not convinced that she will stay this trip at this level. Her win at Newmarket over 10f was run at a crawl (1.37 secs slower than the 2yo race half-an-hour earlier over the same trip) and he best form looks to be at a mile. Similarly, I don’t think Sea Of Heartbreak is a true 10f horse either. As such, MIRROR LAKE looks to have the best chance on the formbook as she clearly gets this trip and will appreciate the going too. She desperately needed her run LTO after a long break from the track and at 4/1 she looks the value. One other horse that catches my eye is PIPETTE as, before we saw her last month, her previous run was when chasing home Snow Fairy at Goodwood prior to that one winning the Oaks. With the benefit of hindsight, I reckon that run was a lot better than it was rated at the time. She’s had a wind-op since then, and she also needed her run last month after a year off the track. She is Andrew Balding’s only runner today and at 12/1 she looks value for a place. The softening ground is a worry but both PIPETTE and MIRROR LAKE can handle good-to-soft, tho’ if it turns soft then I’d certainly have to reconsider MIRROR LAKE as it was the going that beat her last September at Goodwood. With concerns over the going, I cannot recommend a wager as it will be necessary to know the going before the off. On the face-of-it tho’ I may do a reverse forecast on MIRROR LAKE and PIPETTE.
Nothing at Windsor rocks my boat.
Tomorrow, Royal Ascot opens with the Queen Anne Stakes and a clash of the highest order between CANFORD CLIFFS and GOLDIKOVA. I cannot split them and, if anything, would advise watching this and taking in the experience. If pushed to have a wager, it’d be CANFORD CLIFFS as I truly believe he was one of the best miler’s of all time last year in what looked a high class season, and maturity should have made him a better horse. But, GOLDIKOVA is a battler who gives no quarter, she won’t be pushed-aside easily.
The 5-furlong trip of the Kings Stand Stakes will find out the Australian fav Star Witness. He’s shown by far his best form over 6-furlongs and I reckon he’ll be out-sped in this. Last year I was on Kingsgate Native, then the 5/2 fav. For me, the rain-softened ground is a worry as it won’t favour Kingsgate Native, nor the 2nd fav Sole Power. This year, the race looks like going to a rank outsider.
The St James Palace Stakes will go to FRANKEL, end it may be best to try and find the forecast for this race and the Japanese challenger Grand Prix Boss should not be underestimated.
No selections today (tho’ keep an eye on the going at Warwick).
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Betting on horseracing should be a pleasurable experience - never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Thanks from Wayward Lad