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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Monday, 6 June 2011
Anniversary of D-Day
Having been away for a few days, this is more of a ‘catch-up’. There are a few meetings on the Flat today, the best of them being this evening. This is also an important day for other reasons, as today is the 6th June and, in 1944, many thousands risked and gave their lives to rid Europe and the World of the tyranny of Fascism. Spare those souls a thought.
Last Wednesday, as expected, from the Notebook came the winner KEPLER’S LAW. The odds where not much with an SP of 8/115 – but a winner is a winner. He’s currently rated OR65 and he can win again off that mark as he wasn’t pushed hard. Also that evening, a horse I’d noted after his last run - ADDICTIVE DREAM - ran again over 6-furlongs at Ripon. As I wrote in my blog of 16th May… “I feel that the horse could have finished a lot closer (he was 4th beaten nearly 3-lengths) had he been ridden a little more prominently in the early stages rather than being restrained. Some thought he didn’t stay this 6-furlongs and that he may be better suited to a stiff 5-furlongs, but I think he got this trip just fine. This race was a decent standard and ADDICTIVE DREAM needed to be in tip-top form to win. He remains on my HTF list.” Well, I reckon I was spot on as Jamie Spencer took ADDICTIVE DREAM into a decisive lead early-on and ran out a convincing winner at 4/1 in a fast time. He’s entered for the Wokingham at Royal Ascot for which he’s 20/1.
On Thursday, previous blog selection TAURUS TWINS ran at Sandown and after jinking at the start and losing a few lengths he ran on to be beaten just 2-lengths into 6th in a fast-run race. He remains in good form and he is entered at Haydock and York later this week, with both races over 5f.
On Friday, trainer Brian Meehan won with all 4 of his runners at odds of 3/1, 13/2, 15/2 and 16/1 – a stupendous performance. He has just one running for him tonight, Clean Bowled in the 6:15 at Windsor. There was a couple running from the Notebook; TRES CORONAS at Epsom and JARROW at Musselburgh. TRES CORONAS did not seem happy at Epsom, but then he was ridden by Chris Cattlin and he seems to go best when Graham Gibbons in the saddle. JARROW was the well-supported 4/1 joint-fav but ran a stinker of a race. It was his first attempt at 5-furlongs and they may have gone too quick for him. A stiff 6-furlongs could be best for him so I’ll give him another chance.
On Saturday, the Notebook had BAWAARDI, SPACE WAR, BOOGIE SHOES, ZUIDER ZEE and MUSIC FESTIVAL running. SPACE WAR and BAWAARDI both ran in the same race at Doncaster over 7-furlongs. The trip was too short for SPACE WAR who wants at least a mile, but he did best of the pair finishing 5th of the 20 runners. BAWAARDI ran well for a long way from a poor draw (17 of 20) but the early efforts may have done for him. They’ll stay in the Notebook. BOOGIE SHOES came to win his race, and looked to have it in the bag when going ahead over a furlong out, but faded in the final 100 yards. But this was a very strong handicap and he lost nothing, in my eyes, in defeat. He stays in the Notebook. ZUIDER ZEE has been at the forefront of my thoughts for a few weeks and he finished best of all in his race over a trip that may well be 2f short of his best. He looks one to be on NTO. Lastly, MUSIC FESTIVAL was outstayed over 7f at Newcastle. The winner Pravda Street now looks well handicapped on his 2009 form (rated OR89 then, won off OR85 – was OR72 for this) and this form looks strong. He remains in the Notebook.
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