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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Thursday 29 April 2010

Let's get out of a jam with our favourite girl

Interesting 6f handicap at Redcar at 4:00, and there's already been money for the one I want to be on - FAVOURITE GIRL. Last time this ran at Redcar as a 2yo it was 2nd (btn a head) in a Listed race over this 6f trip. Rated OR104 on that run, she's struggled as a 3yo and runs off OR78 today. Ran well in reappearance this month from winter break, she'll get the pace she needs from Tangerine Trees and should make her class tell. Even so, you have to play the percentage game and I would not want to take less than 9/2.

At Hereford, MANJAM looks to have a winning opportunity in the 2:50, a 20f handicap hurdle. Now with Rebecca Curtis, he’ll relish the likely decent pace from Mayor Of Kilcock and pick him off after the final flight. There are stamina doubts about many of these and a decent pace won’t help them.

Friday 23 April 2010

For England and St George!

Most interesting racing in UK is this evening with meetings at Bangor, Chepstow and Newton Abbot.
I am very tempted to go for a real long-odds ew double on the only 2 horses running from Charlie Tizzards stable INTAC @ 25/1 in the 5:55 at newtoN Abbot and WASN'T ME @ 11/1 in the 6:45 at Chepstow - but those sort of bets only come off in your dreams.

In the Chepstow race - which is 27f - you will need a proven horse at this marathon trip and FOURPOINTONE @ 4/1 looks the value.

At Bangor, I was going to give you PRINCE LOUIS in the 6:05 as he won for me LTO at Plumpton - and now I've seen that he's 4/1 too, I think I'll side with him.

Also at Bangor, in the 7:40 runs WIZARDS DUST. He's a bit of a monkey as sometimes he runs well and sometimes he chucks in the towel early-on. He is a better horse with the sun on his back and good or quicker going and I think today will be a going day and he is proven at 24f+; he's 11/2 (was 13/2 this morning).

Its the Champion Hurdle at Punchestown abd can DUNGUIB recoup Golden Ticket losses? Me thinks not, and I am also against Hurricane Fly (who i think is over-rated). PUNJABI has won this race and was beaten on-the-nod last year by Solwhit after hitting the last flight with the race at his mercy and losing momentum on the soft going that favoured Solwhit. PUNJABI is the form horse in this race and 8/1 looks an ew snip.

So that's the ew Friday yankee.


Thursday 22 April 2010

Punchestown 22/4/10

Plenty of runners in the races there (as always) so competition is fierce on paper, but these races can be reduced to a handfull as most are no-hopers. One I have been banging on about since it won here at last years festival is TRUCKERS DELIGHT. It ran a cracker that day in a competitve 2-mile hurdle, winning in a fast time that would have put it close to pushing Hurricane Fly in the race half-an-hour earlier. He loves this track and the going on the "fast" side of good will suit him. He was given a break over winter to miss the soft going but before his lay-off he won a decent chase at Stratford last November. He's had a pipe-opener in the last month to bring him right and ran well behind Psycho (who is 3rd fav for the 2-mile chase on todays card behind Riverside Theatre and Captain Cee Bee) and he could do the biz today in the 4:15 handicap chase. He's 8/1 but those odds should lengthen.

Later on the card at 6:40 RIVERSIDE THEATRE runs. He hated the undulations of Cheltenham, but rallied strongly from the 2nd-last to be 5th in the Arkle. That's top class form with Mad Max, Somersby and Osana confirming the form at Aintree. Riverside Theatre can take this today on a course and going that will suit him best and with the Irish money going on Captain Cee Bee, RIVERSIDE THEATRE is a healthy 7/2. Let's relieve them of their cash - they'd only spend it on Guiness!