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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Saturday 12 December 2020

Saturday 12th December 2020

 I've been away for a few weeks as my laptop broke-down, and finding a replacement was difficult - one of the problems associated with Covid.  Anyway, enough of my 1st-world problems, onto the horseracing and a cracking day we have in store.

We are back at Cheltenham and before I move on, what a great win for MISTER FISHER yesterday - he really justified my opinion of him before he ran in the Paddy Power Chase over the C&D last month.  I reckon he was beaten by the ground that day, as were a lot in the field, and had he raced on better ground and put up the sort of performance we saw yesterday he'd have won the Paddy Power handicap off OR155.  

For today's Caspian Caviar Gold Cup, I really cannot see Coole Cody repeating his win off a 6lb higher rating, and the one that takes my eye is CHAMPAGNE MYSTERY who could be well handicapped on OR139.  He does not have much experience and is chucked in the deep end here, but I cannot see Nicky Henderson doing this to give his owners a "jolly".

One of my wagers of the day is in the following race at 2:25pm, the 3-mile novices hurdle and it's ASHTOWN LAD.  He looks a major long-term prospect and his future is over fences, but he should be too strong for this field.  Unfortunately, there is no value in his odds and the best now available is 2/1 and I do not recommend wagers below 9/4.

At Doncaster, I'm really interested in the Gordon Elliott trained GLORIOUS ZOFF,  who was entered to run at Cheltenham today, but comes here instead.  Elliott's novice hurdlers are something else this season, and he will surely make full use of the 5lb he gets from the odds-on fav Monmiral here.  You can get 3/1 about Glorious Zoff in what essentially is a "match" race. 

With lots of decent racing you can take a view away from the major meetings, and at Hereford in the 12:47pm which is a 3m1f handicap chase the top-weight SANDY BOY will take all the beating. He ran a great debut chase 16 days ago, and there is possibly only one danger and that's Jabulani sent here by Sam Thomas.  Odds of 9/2 look great value to me.

My selections are:

SANDY BOY @ 9/2 - £10 win

GLORIOUS ZOFF @ 3/1 - £10 win

CHAMPAGNE MYSTERY - @ 16/1 £5 Eachway with Paddy Power - 6 places