JUMPS SEASON 2010-11 Results Record:
Profit = 10.0625pts
Total number of wagers = 96 (including antepost)
Total amount staked = 109.50pts
Win wagers = 39, with 11 winners providing a profit of 14.33pts
EW wagers = 57, with 2 winners & 13 placed, providing loss of 4.225pts
This is a list of all the selections advised on the blog from 1st November 2010 for the winter "jumps" season. Not included in this list are horses mentioned in the blog narrative. When I write-up my blog of a morning (between 8:00am - 10:00am) there are sometimes pieces of information that I do not have available. These fall into 3 categories:
1) Actual going (the reported going may be different from the actual going);
2) Betting market fluctuations (I may overlook a selection that is at 5/2 but, if it drifts to 9/2, it may then be a "value" selection at the longer odds);
3) Fitness (if a horse has been off the course for more than 42-days, then its fitness can only be confirmed once it is seen prior to racing).
Antepost wagers on the Cheltenham Festival have been included and are annotated (AP).
1st Nov: FREE WORLD, 2pts win, 2nd @ 3/1 - 2pts lost
2nd Nov: VAMIZI, 1pt win, 3nd @ 100/30 - 1pt lost
3rd Nov: JUSTABOUT, 1pt win, unplaced (U/P) @ 9/2 – 1pt lost
4th Nov: GIFTED LEADER, ½pt eachway, 2nd @ 6/1 – 0.10pts profit
10th Nov: BUFFALO BOB, ½pt eachway, 2nd @ 13/2 – 0.15pts profit
11th Nov: MIDNIGHT HAZE, 1pt win, WON @ 9/2 – 4.50pts profit
11th Nov: JUSTABOUT, 1pt win, WON @ 7/2 – 3.50pts profit
13th Nov: MAD MAX, 1pt eachway, 4th @ 9/1 – 1.25pts profit
13th Nov: FINGERONTHEPULSE, ½pt eachway, U/P @ 22/1 – 1pt lost
16th Nov: PLEIN POUVIOR, 1pt win, U/P @ 9/2 = 1pt lost
19th Nov: LE BURF, ½pt win, 3rd @ 6/1 – 0.50pts lost
20th Nov: IMPERIAL COMMANDER and ZAYNAR, 1pt win double = 1pt lost
24th Nov: DIAMOND FRONTIER, 1pt win @ 5/2 – 1pt lost
25th Nov: SOUND STAGE, 1pt eachway, 2nd @ 8/1 – 0.60pts profit
27th Nov: SILVER BY NATURE, ½pt eachway, U/P @ 25/1 – 1pt lost
27th Nov: MINELLA THEATRE, 1pt eachway, U/P @ 11/1 – 2pts lost
November Balance = lost 1.40pts from 19.50pts staked.
14th Dec: MIDNIGHT HAZE, 1pt eachway, U/P @ 11/2 - 1pt lost
16th Dec: AZTEC TREASURE, 1pt win, WON @ 3/1 - 3pts profit
16th Dec: CHAPOTURGEON, 1pt win, lost @ 11/2 - 1pt lost
December Balance = Profit of 1.00pt from 3pts staked.
8th Jan: SILVER BY NATURE, ½pt ew @ 16/1 Lost - 1pt lost
8th Jan: EXMOOR RANGER, ½pt ew @ 16/1 Lost - 1pt lost
8th Jan: FREE WORLD, ½pt ew @ 9/1 Lost - 1pt lost
15th Jan: ZANIR, ½pt ew @ 22/1; placed 4th, profit +2.25pts
15th Jan: BINOCULAR, 2pts win @ 11/4; WON +5.50pts
15th Jan: PLANET OF SOUND, ½pt ew @ 20/1; Lost - 1pt lost
19th Jan: CAPTAIN TIDDS, ½pt ew @ 17/2; Lost - 1pt lost
22nd Jan: PICKAMUS, ½pt eachway @ 14/1; Lost - 1pt lost
22nd Jan: BRADFORD BORIS, ½pt eachway @ 8/1; Lost - 1pt lost
28th Jan: SAGALYRIQUE, 1pt win @ 100/30; WON +3.33pts
29th Jan: CHAPOTURGEON, 1pt win @ 11/1; Lost - 1pt lost
29th Jan: CHAPOTURGEON, ½pt eachway @ 11/1; Lost - 1pt lost
January Balance = Profit of 2.08pts from 13pts staked
1st Feb: ABSOLUTE SHAMBLES, 1pt win @ 8/1; Lost - 1pt lost
4th Feb: MASTER SOMERVILLE, ½pt ew @ 18/1; placed 3rd, profit +1.30pts
5th Feb: THEATRICAL MOMENT, ½pt eachway @ 13/2; Lost - 1pt lost
5th Feb: MAKTU, ½pt eachway @ 6/1; Lost - 1pt lost
9th Feb: STORM SURGE, ½pt eachway @ 9/1; Lost - 1pt lost
9th Feb: RESTEZEN D’AMOR, ½pt eachway @ 11/2; Lost - 1pt lost
11th Feb: ALDERBURN, 1pt win @ 14/1; Lost - 1pt lost
12th Feb: CHANCE DU ROY, 1pt eachway @ 5/1 placed 3rd … nil pts
18th Feb: QHILIMAR, 1pt win @ 15/2 WON …+7.50pts
18th Feb: FRENCH OPERA, 2pts win @ 7/2 WON …+7.00pts
18th Feb: ZANIR, ½pt eachway @ 20/1 Lost (fell) - 1pt lost
19th Feb: LE BEAU BAI, ½pt eachway @ 9/1 placed 3rd, profit +0.625pts
19th Feb: PALYPSO DE CREEK, ½pt eachway @ 11/1; Lost - 1pt lost
22nd Feb: PACCO, 1pt win @ 5/2; Lost - 1pt lost
24th Feb: BACKFROMTHECONGO, ½pt ew @ 10/1; placed 2nd, profit +0.50pts
25th Feb: KILKENNY ALL STAR, ½pt eachway @ 7/1; Lost - 1pt lost
25th Feb: INCENTIVISE, 1pt win @ 5/2 Lost (2nd) - 1pt lost
February Balance = Profit 5.925pts from 19pts staked
12th Mar: HOLMWOOD LEGEND, ½pt ew @ 14/1 WON …+8.40pts
14th Mar: RILEYEV, ½pt win @ 9/4 WON …+1.125pts
14th Mar: REMEMBER NOW, ½pt win @ 11/4 …WON …+1.375pts
15th Mar: (AP) GHIZAO, 1pt ew @ 12/1, Lost - 2pts lost
15th Mar: (AP) GHIZAO, 1pt win @ 6/1, Lost - 1pt lost
15th Mar: WOLF MOON, ½pt eachway @ 12/1, Lost - 1pt lost
15th Mar: THE RAINBOW HUNTER, ½pt eachway @ 25/1, Lost - 1pt lost
15th Mar: (AP) PEDDLERS CROSS, 1pt ew @ 14/1; 2nd profit +2.50pts
15th Mar: (AP) PEDDLERS CROSS, 1pt win @ 11/2; Lost - 1pt lost
15th Mar: (AP) BINOCULAR, 1pt win @ 4/1; Lost - 1pt lost
15th Mar: PEDDLERS CROSS, 1pt win @ 9/2; Lost - 1pt lost
15th Mar: GARDE CHAMPETRE, ½p eachway @ 5/1, 2nd profit +0.125pts
16th Mar: MAJOR MALARKEY, ½pt eachway @ 25/1; Lost - 1pt lost
16th Mar: TORNADO BOB, ½pt eachway @ 12/1; Lost - 1pt lost
16th Mar: WOOLCOMBE FOLLY, ½pt eachway @ 12/1; Lost - 1pt lost
16th Mar: (AP) FRENCH OPERA, 1pt ew @ 50/1, Lost - 2pts lost
16th Mar: (AP) GAUVAIN, ½pt ew @ 25/1, Lost - 1pt lost
16th Mar: (AP) MASTER MINDED, 1pt win @ 11/4; Lost - 1pt lost
16th Mar: (AP) MASTER MINDED, 1pt win @ 5/2; Lost - 1pt lost
16th Mar: (AP) BOSTONS ANGEL, 1pt ew @ 16/1; WON ...+20.00pts
16th Mar: AEGEAN DAWN, ½pt eachway @ 6/1; Lost - 1pt lost
16th Mar: TIGER O’TOOLE, ½pt eachway : 25/1; Lost - 1pt lost
17th Mar: (AP) POQUELIN, 2pts win @ 4/1, Lost - 2pts lost
17th Mar: WISHFUL THINKING, 1pt win @ 7/2; Lost - 1pt lost
17th Mar: KAYF ARAMIS, ½pt eachway @ 20/1; Lost - 1pt lost
17th Mar: QUARTZ DE THAIX, ½pt eachway @ 7/1; Lost - 1pt lost
17th Mar: FAR MORE SERIOUS, ½pt eachway @ 20/1; Lost - 1pt lost
18th Mar: ZANIR, ½pt eachway @ 28/1; Lost - 1pt lost
18th Mar: IMPERIAL COMMANDER, 1pt win @ 9/2; Lost - 1pt lost
18th Mar: (AP) IMPERIAL COMMANDER, 2pt win @ 9/2; Lost - 2pts lost
18th Mar: (AP) DENMAN, 1pt ew @ 8/1; placed 2nd, profit +1.00pts
18th Mar: (AP) BURTON PORT, ½pt ew @ 20/1; Lost - 1pt lost
18th Mar: GENTLE GEORGE, ½pt eachway @ 50/1; Lost - 2pts lost
(AP) Multiple bet; 5pts staked, Lost - 5pts lost
22nd Mar: BETABOB, ½pt eachway @ 11/2; Lost - 1pt lost
24th Mar: FREEZE UP, ½pt eachway @ 6/1; Lost - 1pt lost
24th Mar: BENE LAD, 1pt win @ 4/1; Lost - 1pt lost)
26th Mar: SCOTS DRAGOON, ½pt eachway @ 15/2, 3rd …+0.4375pts
31st Mar: AZULADA BAY, ½pt eachway @ 9/1; Lost - 1pt lost
March Balance = Lost 4.0375pts from 49pts staked (AP stakes = 26pts)
5th April: VAMIZI, 1pt win @ 5/1, Lost - 1pt lost
7th April: CAROLE'S LEGACY, ½pt win @ 6/1, Lost - ½pt lost
7th April: MISTER APPLE'S, ½pt win @ 16/1, Lost - ½pt lost
8th April: QUITO DE LA ROQUE, ½pt win @ 6/1, WON ..+3.00pts
8th April: FRENCH OPERA, ½pt eachway @ 12/1, Lost - 1pt lost
8th April: QUITO DE LA ROQUE & FRENCH OPERA, ¼pt eachway double - ½pt Lost
9th April: BALLABRIGGS, ½pt win @ 16/1, WON ..+8.00pts
9th April: WEST END ROCKER, ¼pt eachway, Lost - ½pt lost
9th April: THE TOTHER ONE, ¼pt eachway @ 66/1, lost - ½pt lost
April Balance = WON +6.50pts from 6pts staked
From this analysis, it is fairly obvious that the EW wagers should be abandoned as 2 winners from 57 wagers is poor by anyone's standards. That said, the 13 placed horses included 6 "close" 2nds, but without the 2 winners (at 14/1 & 16/1) the eachway ledger would be looking very sorry.
