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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Monday, 18 October 2010
Kim Bailey makes rare visit to Plumpton
Review of the weekend’s horseracing
Review of weekend’s horseracing
Not a bad result again on Saturday!
The headline selection TWICE OVER romped home in the Champion Stakes at 7/2 (advised on this blog @ 9/2 as the “value punt”). I was also on the mark with the day’s “Bismark” lay-wager PICTURE THIS in the novice chase as Cheltenham. I thought he was a “lay” at 7/4, but the horse actually started at the unbelievable odds of 6/5 – madness in the ring from the uninitiated.
My “nap” as such, POCKET ACES gave a poor display of jumping and must’ve clouted half-a-dozen fences. Even so, he kept up with the field for most of the race and I can only assume the horse just wasn’t fit enough to do himself justice.
In the Dewhurst, FRANKEL showed himself to be the worthy winter favourite for the 2000 Guineas, tho’ the below-par runs of both SAAMIDD and DREAM AHEAD put a slight question-mark on the form. It has to be said that the race-time was very fast.
There was an impressive winner at Cheltenham in CLERK’S CHOICE in the 2-mile class 2 hurdle, and he could be one to follow this season.
Just the one jump meeting at my local track at Plumpton today, and it is very ordinary fare.
Only one race takes my eye as perhaps providing an opportunity and that’s the 25f & 110yds handicap hurdle. This trip will really stretch the stamina of most of these, and there are only a few that will “likely” stay the trip, and that’s Winsley Hill, Clifton Debut and Makena as the others all have stamina doubts. However, I think this extended 3-mile trip will even find out Winsley Hill, who does not find much beyond 24-furlongs. It is very likely that there will be a good pace and any chinks in the stamina will be exposed here, so the most likely winner is probably CLIFTON DEBUT who has form over 3-mile on similar going in Ireland and makes his debut for Kim Bailey, who is a rare visitor to Plumpton. Sean Quinlan is in the saddle and in the last 6-months, Quinlan has ridden 12 winners from 35 rides or Bailey. I’d want a bit more than the current odds of 9/2 tho’, and if you can get better than 5/1 then I’d take it.
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