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advising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.

Friday, 1 October 2010

2yo's on show at Newmarket

In today’s blog:-
Review of yesterday’s racing
Today’s Racing Selections

Review of yesterday’s racing

The two horses noted in the narrative yesterday SACRED SHIELD and TAX FREE both ran well, in fact TAX FREE was beaten just a neck into 2nd at 9/2 (touched 5/1). Had he shown a bit more determination, TAX FREE may have turned that effort into a winning one. Henry Cecil’s SACRED SHIELD was unplaced, but was staying-on well in the final quarter-mile and may be one to look out for next time she runs.
A stat that I noticed after posting the blog was concerning Sir Michael Stoute. He ran Protondo Rosso in the Nursery (2yo handicap) at Newmarket. The horse ran unplaced (came 7th) and was the 5/2 fav. The main reason I write this is that in the past 5 seasons, from 334 2yo runners, he’s only sent out 27 runners in nurseries of which 6 (22%) have won, producing a profit of £11.50 to a £1 level stake. It is the only arena in which he makes a betting profit on his 2yo’s – make note!

Today’s Racing Selections

Just the solitary Flat (turf) meeting at Newmarket, with two AW meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton; and a jumps meeting at Hexham.
The meeting at Newmarket is an absolute cracker (why oh why have they given away the Champion Stakes). The Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes for fillies only is of particular interest for those looking to find the winner of next season’s 1000 Guineas. This looks a competitive renewal and I cannot split them. A race to watch, savour, and take note.
The Group 3 Joel Stakes has a tremendous field and my initial view is to go for the horse from stable in form – ALEXANDROS from Saeed Bin Suroor who has his stable in unstoppable form of late. With 10 winners from 29 runners in the past 14-days he’s the man in the driving seat and 9/2 about ALEXANDROS looks fair given he’ll enjoy the soft going, and the trip (a mile) and he’s probably capable of winning a Group1 when at top form.
If ALWAARY is fit after a break of 409 days he’ll take the listed Godolphin Stakes at 4:15 but, if he isn’t, quite where the winner will come from is anyone’s guess and Wajir may be the one if finding his form on soft from last season.
The meeting at Hexham looks attractive and well worth watching and noting.

Newmarket 1:55 ALEXANDROS, 2pts win @ 9/2

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