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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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advising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.

Thursday, 14 October 2010

Sizing Europe returns to the track

In today’s blog:-
Review of yesterday’s horseracing
Today’s Horseracing

Review of yesterday’s horseracing
My initial thoughts were not a great day for the blog yesterday – but perhaps I’m being a bit hard on myself. The first selection to run, ARCHIE’S WISH looked like it had the race won coming to the 2nd last (touched 1.20 in-running on Betfair), but he just faltered there and the eventual winner – Ferdy Murphy’s Pistol Basc – took it up and stayed on strong. No excuse really, the better horse on the day won.
The other selection, FIT TO DRIVE, never got into the race at all, and took a walk in the market before racing (went to 14.0 before the off) suggesting all was not well with the horse. Given the form she was in last autumn perhaps connections have not got the horse fit. On reflection, I should have given more thought to the recent form of her trainer Brendan Powell as he’s only had 2 winners from his last 40 runners over the jumps and on the flat since 1st September.
The other horse mentioned on the blog was KILKENNY ALL STAR who ran out a good winner at the odds of 2/1 (having touched 9/4).
If I had wagered a level stake “win” bet on each of the 3 named horses then I’ve have finished the day even, but instead I incurred a 2pt loss. I think that perhaps I am trying too hard to find a winner at good odds and, in the process, missing out some solid chances like KILKENNY ALL STAR.

Today’s Horseracing
There is just the one jump meeting today at Wincanton, tho’ there is also a decent meeting in Ireland at Punchestown. There is little to get excited about at Wincanton so, on the face of it, I’m giving the meeting a miss.

At Punchestown, the Arkle winner SIZING EUROPE reappears over 2m 7f, and he should win this easily. He’s won over 2m4f before (beating Tinakelly Lad, who was mentioned on this blog when 3rd in the Munster National last week) and this trip should not trouble him at all.
All eyes will be on LOOSEN MY LOAD in the novice chase, and he should win this. Even so, we need to see a decent display if he is to be a serious contender for next year’s Arkle. Last year, Sizing Europe recorded an RPR of 163 in winning this race, and to record a similar rating LOOSEN MY LOAD will have to win in an emphatic manner from what looks to be very ordinary opposition.

No selections today.

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