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Monday 18 October 2010

Kim Bailey makes rare visit to Plumpton

In today’s blog:-
Review of the weekend’s horseracing
Today’s Horseracing

Review of weekend’s horseracing

Not a bad result again on Saturday!
The headline selection TWICE OVER romped home in the Champion Stakes at 7/2 (advised on this blog @ 9/2 as the “value punt”). I was also on the mark with the day’s “Bismark” lay-wager PICTURE THIS in the novice chase as Cheltenham. I thought he was a “lay” at 7/4, but the horse actually started at the unbelievable odds of 6/5 – madness in the ring from the uninitiated.
My “nap” as such, POCKET ACES gave a poor display of jumping and must’ve clouted half-a-dozen fences. Even so, he kept up with the field for most of the race and I can only assume the horse just wasn’t fit enough to do himself justice.
In the Dewhurst, FRANKEL showed himself to be the worthy winter favourite for the 2000 Guineas, tho’ the below-par runs of both SAAMIDD and DREAM AHEAD put a slight question-mark on the form. It has to be said that the race-time was very fast.
There was an impressive winner at Cheltenham in CLERK’S CHOICE in the 2-mile class 2 hurdle, and he could be one to follow this season.

Today’s Horseracing

Just the one jump meeting at my local track at Plumpton today, and it is very ordinary fare.
Only one race takes my eye as perhaps providing an opportunity and that’s the 25f & 110yds handicap hurdle. This trip will really stretch the stamina of most of these, and there are only a few that will “likely” stay the trip, and that’s Winsley Hill, Clifton Debut and Makena as the others all have stamina doubts. However, I think this extended 3-mile trip will even find out Winsley Hill, who does not find much beyond 24-furlongs. It is very likely that there will be a good pace and any chinks in the stamina will be exposed here, so the most likely winner is probably CLIFTON DEBUT who has form over 3-mile on similar going in Ireland and makes his debut for Kim Bailey, who is a rare visitor to Plumpton. Sean Quinlan is in the saddle and in the last 6-months, Quinlan has ridden 12 winners from 35 rides or Bailey. I’d want a bit more than the current odds of 9/2 tho’, and if you can get better than 5/1 then I’d take it.

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  1. Clifton debut was the only horse I was interested i'n today as well do think odds are a bit on the tight side.didn't really know what to make of clerk choice if I'm honest as I think he had a lot i'n his favour with ground and recent racing where a few of his opponents had doubts can't deny the way he travelled though was impressive think I'd be willing to take on when the ground gets soft and hopefully connections will look at a spring campaign

  2. I thought CLIFTON DEBUT was going to be placed at least when half-a-mile out, but he clattered the 2nd-last flight and that cost him a length or two. He didn't throw-in the towel tho' and kept on and there was not much in it at the line - less than 2-lengths covering the 1st-5 who were well clear of the remainder. CLIFTON DEBUT may be best at 2m6f.