Blog writing is a time-consuming exercise and, for me, it is a double-edged sword as I want to provide the reader with a reason to visit this blog and to come away from it having learned something to their advantage. Hence, I don't like posting just a bit of guff.
Take yesterday. It was a busy day for me with a meeting in both the morning and afternoon to attend, plus half a dozen other things to sort out at the office. As such, no time to donate to the blog. Even so, I managed to find 20 mins to nip out to the local bookies and peruse the day's runners. As I wrote on my previous blog page, I've been looking at sprinters this summer on the flat, and it's worked out well for me. My betting shop appraisals start with a look at what the trainers stats are per course. I note down those who have a 20% or better strike-rate (3yo's-plus) and pay attention to those with just 1 or 2 runners. If they've travelled a long way, that's a further enticement. At Hamilton, I quickly noticed Karl Burke's strike-rate and that he had only the one runner there: BARON RUN. A look at the form showed that Baron Run was a multiple course & distance winner - he just loves Hamilton. The odds at the time were 8/1 and that looked value in what was - I considered - a fairly open race with no other strong candidates. The only horse I was concerned with was Layla's Hero who was in-form but, since they last met, Baron Run had a huge pull in the weights - and he beat Layla's Hero on that previous meeting!
I posted that selection up on twitter @wayward_lad and combined it with another that I'd had a punt on a couple of weeks ago: JACOB BLACK. What I didn't know was that the saddle slipped when Jacob Black ran previously and so he didn't show his true form. This race looked very weak on paper and, with Jacob Black proven at the trip and on the ground, early odds of 7/2 looked very generous.
Sure enough, both these confirmed front-runners led from the break and made-all to win their respective races! It doesn't always work out like that, but I don't issue selections willy-nilly on twitter. My money was down yesterday.
Welcome to the "World of Horseracing". This blog has been providing information, comment, and selections for horseracing in the UK and Ireland since March 2010.
Welcome to the World of Horseracing
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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Wednesday, 3 September 2014
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What did I tell you about following my tweets? Just one horse given today (Friday) - my first advice since Tuesday - and TRIPLE CHOCOLATE wins at 6/1.ReplyDelete