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Record of the blog selections

Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.

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Friday, 4 October 2013

Decent meeting at Fontwell

We had no luck with the selection Cinevator who ran like he was hating the ground at Chepstow which was on the soft side of good. As such, we dropped £20 and the bank brought forward is £2,070.
Today there are a couple of decent meetings at Fontwell and Hexham.  I'm most interested in Fontwell were there look to be some opportunities. Unfortunately due to work constraints I'm not able to write the detailed blog that I'd prefer to.
The novice chase at 2:40 could be an opportunity for SKI SUNDAY who ran encouragingly at Ffos Las LTO. Novice chases are not the best betting medium but we know this horse can jump a fence and has a bit of class. I can't advise a wager as I will probably only risk £5 of my own money if I can obtain 5/1.  Next up at 3:15, I really like the chance of HI NOTE to be in the places. The horse is fit from racing on the flat and has his ground. His mark of OR128 is fair based on last season's performance s and current odds of 14/1 are generous,  and while I cannot see him winning he has a great chance of placing, so I'm having £10 place-only on Betfair at about 4.60.

Selection
Fontwell 3:15, HI NOTE, £10 place-only @ 4.60 on Betfair



Tuesday, 1 October 2013

Back with a winner at odds of 15/2

What a great start to the jumps season.
Yesterday, I posted just the one selection, SPORTING BOY at Newton Abbot. As I wrote yesterday, this horse had been on my alert list for 12 months while I waited for the perfect wagering situation - that was presented yesterday when he returned to hurdling, race fit from some recent races over fences (which he didn't seem to enjoy as much as hurdling), and on ground that was just about quick enough (good-to-soft) to allow him to take part.
SPORTING BOY had gone into my alert list after winning for the 4th time in 5 races last November 2nd in a very quick time beating a useful looking field fairly easily after which he was rated OR129. Put away till the Spring, he was probably unfit on his return; heated the heavy ground on his next run; and was then not ready for his final hurdle race of the season.
Sent chasing for the summer he never looked anything but one-paced or lacking stamina (when racing beyond 2-miles) over fences, and so his return to hurdles yesterday saw him racing off OR115, the mark off which he won on the 2nd November last year. He's to be put away to the Spring again now (as he hates soft ground) and when he returns he'll need a race or two to get fit after which he'll be primed for a return to the winners enclosure. His place on my alert list is guaranteed.

So, from a starting bank of £2,000 yesterdays 15/2 winner provided £90 profit and the bank now stands at £2,090.

Today there is another from my alert list running - CINEVATOR in the 3:40 at Chepstow.  This looks a competitive novice chase, but I reckon there is some value in CINEVATOR who is currently at 12/1 generally.  He's a quick horse and that's why he's on my alert list. He also stays this 3-mile trip well having won both starts at the distance.  He won his debut chase and trainer Caroline Keevil knows how to educate a novice chaser (remember Sound Stage).

Odds of 12/1 are too long and invite an each way wager. As yesterday I'm having £10 each way with a bookie offering best odds guaranteed.

Thanks for reading this blog and I hope you get enjoyment from it.
If you have a successful wager on the back of what you read here then please make a contribution as an expression of thanks via the donate button.
Remember - gambling on horseracing should be a pleasurable experience - never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Thanks from Wayward Lad

Monday, 30 September 2013

'Arc' fav ORFEVRE advised on 26th June

For regular readers of the blog, it will come as no surprise that I advised an antepost wager on ORFEVRE way back on 26th June when the odds on the horse for the race were 7/1. My antepost selections are few and far between as I only make an advice when I think there is real value to be had. Now, after a sparkling trial for the big race this Sunday,  ORFEVRE is the 5/2 fav.

The jumps season moves out of 1st gear this week and meetings are becoming more regular. At Newton Abbot today, there is a runner from my alert list, SPORTING BOY in the 4:20. He went on my list after a good win over hurdles last November and then had the winter off, returning to the track in March.  He probably spent too long in the field as he looked unfit on his return then went chasing for the summer.  He's not looked an enthusiastic chaser and so could be interesting returning to hurdles today. At odds of 13/2 (Bet Victor and Corals) he's worth a small (half point) each way wager.   This season I'm wagering to £20 a point till 31st October,  so I'm having £10 each way at 13/2. My starting bank is £2,000.

Thanks for reading this blog and I hope you get enjoyment from it.

If you have a successful wager on the back of what you read here then please make a contribution as an expression of thanks via the donate button.
Remember - gambling on horseracing should be a pleasurable experience - never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Thanks from Wayward Lad

Sunday, 29 September 2013

Jumps season about to go into full swing

This week I have been having a few small wagers on the horseracing and managed to find a winner at Newmarket (which I tweeted beforehand) in MISS FRANCE @ 9/2.
There was a good meeting at Perth which provided some good opportunities, especially for followers of Irish trainer Gordon Elliot. He sent over 4 horses, and 3 of them won.  Altho' I didn't recommend it, I managed to get 9/2 about his winner CASTLETOWN BRIDGE.
I've been going thru' my horse alert list which I've carried over from last season, taking out a few who haven't gone forward or have been caught by the handicapper, and adding a couple of others. The list threw up a couple of selections yesterday, including the 7/1 winner AHYAKNOWYERSELF. This horse had been on my alert list since running 2nd at Ffos Las on 14th October last year. He quickly followed that run up with a win later in the month after which he was off the track for a year. Brought back with a "pipe-opener" at Stratford on the 7th September, he was well primed for the run yesterday and looked a well handicapped horse winning easily from his stable companion Orthodox Lad.
Make sure you note any runners from trainer Dr Richard Newland who clearly has his horses fit and ready to run at this stage of the season.
The plan is to start writing a regular blog from the 1st November. This season, I'm also going to be writing a blog for the website Gallops Live, mainly to give me exposure to a wider audience.

During the summer I've started writing another occasional blog for the benefit of those who may be operating their own SIPP (Self Invested Pension Plan) Pension Builder by Wayward Lad. I'm not a financial advisor and make no secret of that fact. The reason for writing the blog is the same as the basic reason for writing this horseracing blog - to improve my selection process. If you are interested, take a look and leave a comment. There is a dearth of information for independent pension investors on the internet; most of what I read is "promoted" by others hoping to earn a commission on the back of what they write. My opinion is that the Stock Market and pensions are not something anyone should be intimidated by, it is not a black art, and there is plenty of scope to improve the value of your pension plan with sensible decisions.

Thanks for reading this blog and I hope you get enjoyment from it.
If you have a successful wager on the back of what you read here then please make a contribution as an expression of thanks via the donate button.
Remember - gambling on horseracing should be a pleasurable experience - never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Thanks from Wayward Lad