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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Tuesday 1 October 2013

Back with a winner at odds of 15/2

What a great start to the jumps season.
Yesterday, I posted just the one selection, SPORTING BOY at Newton Abbot. As I wrote yesterday, this horse had been on my alert list for 12 months while I waited for the perfect wagering situation - that was presented yesterday when he returned to hurdling, race fit from some recent races over fences (which he didn't seem to enjoy as much as hurdling), and on ground that was just about quick enough (good-to-soft) to allow him to take part.
SPORTING BOY had gone into my alert list after winning for the 4th time in 5 races last November 2nd in a very quick time beating a useful looking field fairly easily after which he was rated OR129. Put away till the Spring, he was probably unfit on his return; heated the heavy ground on his next run; and was then not ready for his final hurdle race of the season.
Sent chasing for the summer he never looked anything but one-paced or lacking stamina (when racing beyond 2-miles) over fences, and so his return to hurdles yesterday saw him racing off OR115, the mark off which he won on the 2nd November last year. He's to be put away to the Spring again now (as he hates soft ground) and when he returns he'll need a race or two to get fit after which he'll be primed for a return to the winners enclosure. His place on my alert list is guaranteed.

So, from a starting bank of £2,000 yesterdays 15/2 winner provided £90 profit and the bank now stands at £2,090.

Today there is another from my alert list running - CINEVATOR in the 3:40 at Chepstow.  This looks a competitive novice chase, but I reckon there is some value in CINEVATOR who is currently at 12/1 generally.  He's a quick horse and that's why he's on my alert list. He also stays this 3-mile trip well having won both starts at the distance.  He won his debut chase and trainer Caroline Keevil knows how to educate a novice chaser (remember Sound Stage).

Odds of 12/1 are too long and invite an each way wager. As yesterday I'm having £10 each way with a bookie offering best odds guaranteed.

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Remember - gambling on horseracing should be a pleasurable experience - never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Thanks from Wayward Lad

1 comment:

  1. Well done! Good to see your blog back up and running. Looking forward to the jumps season, can't wait... It has been a great summer tho!