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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Thursday 7 March 2013

Full steam ahead for Cheltenham

Last night I sent out the 4th and final handicap update to those who have made a donation to receive the Cheltenham Bulletin. This year, I've really burned the midnight oil in putting things together, it has been a "helluva" effort. That said, I reckon this year's information surpasses that I sent out last year, and I'm already making plans for how I'm going to spend the summer months preparing for next year's Festival.

If you want to receive the bulletin and all 4 handicap updates juts donate at least £8 using the "donate" button at the top of the screen and will issue as soon as the deposit is received. I've been a bit quiet  on the blogging front this week as Cheltenham has taken priority, but it's all back to normal now – until next Monday!

Regular readers will know that I operate an alert list using the easyodds.com alert system. Today, there are a couple of horses running from my alert list. I enjoy racing in this final week before the Festival as some races don't take an awful lot of winning as the better horses are waiting for the Festival.  At Carlisle in the 3:45 there is BEAU DANDY and at Wincanton in the 2:30 there is RUBEN COTTER.

Firstly, RUBEN COTTER; this Paul Nicholls novice chaser is currently odds-on at 2/5 to beat his 3 rivals having beaten the useful Vintage Star LTO on his chase debut. He looks a 150+ chaser in the making and should easily win this race. No recommended wager from me as he's at odds less than 9/4, but I really can't see him losing this unless for some unfortunate reason he does not finish the race.

BEAU DANDY looks more of a betting proposition. This 8yo won LTO at Newcastle on heavy ground over a 3-mile trip and, whereas this race is over 3m2f, he should have no problem with stamina today.  He's been raised 13lb for that win, which looks steep as before that win he'd been running consistently off a rating of OR92-93 without winning. That win LTO was attributed to 1st-time blinkers, but he was the subject of a significant gamble for that race so connections clearly thought he was well-in and, sure enough, he made-all and won fairly easily being in command a long way out. A lot of his opposition in this have been running poorly and it is difficult to see anything else that may produce a winning effort. Odds of 13/2 look far enough and he's worth an eachway wager.

Carlisle 3:45, BEAU DANDY, ½pt eachway 13/2 (BetVictor & Stan James, ¼ odds a place 1,2,3 BOG)

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Thanks from Wayward Lad

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