What a great result for the blog yesterday when MILBOROUGH - advised at 20/1 in the morning - stayed-on strong to take the marathon Eider Chase over 4-mile and a furlong. The form was in the book (as I wrote on my blog) and he just needed a bit of luck to ensure he got around.
I thought I was onto a double when there was a concerted gamble on my other selection Tenor Nivernais, who went off at 9/1 (advised at 14/1) but the ground did for his chances.
Even so, the blog returned a £93 profit on the £20 staked.
There were some good performances yesterday, none more so than that of Rocky Creek in the feature race at Kempton. He ran right up to his best on my assessment, which puts him just below Gold Cup class, but not by much. If it were a soft ground Festival, I'd have him running in the Gold Cup.
At Chepstow, another Festival contender won as Sire De Grugy sauntered home from a small field. He was giving away lots of weight and I didn't think he'd be capable of doing it, but he did. He was helped by a poor effort from Grey Gold (in-receipt of 20lbs) who ran about 15lbs below what he is capable of. Why do I think that? Because he only beat the OR132 rated Mister Grez by 2-lengths despite that horse being 14lb out of the handicap. As such, I've rated Sire De Grugy at 160 for this performance. Along with Sprinter Sacre, I think both these QMCC market leaders will come on for the run, but I think there is more potential from Sprinter Sacre.
I hope you were on yesterdays winner, I know more than a few were. That makes it 4 winning Saturdays from the last 5, and my confidence is running high as the Cheltenham Festival approaches.
Well done, Ian. Another nice win.
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