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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.
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Tuesday, 10 March 2015
Cheltenham 2015 - Day 2 Preview
Both selections were placed, and returned profits of £22.50 (Indian Castle) and £15.00 (Horizontal Speed) respectively making £37.50 in total. I also had a personal eachway double that paid over 15/1.
Not only that, but I gave a very strong word for the winner Cause Of Causes, who won with a fair bit in hand.
There will be a complete review of the Festival in the next week or so on the blog.
1:30 Neptune Novices Hurdle (2-miles & 5-furlongs)
A select field of 10 runners for this, perhaps the best novice hurdle on the calendar.
Essentialy, you are looking for a LTO winner with at least 3 hurdle runs. of which at least 2 have been wins.
Given the performance of horses from his stable yesterday, you have to respect the chances of his runners Nichols Canyon and Outlander in this race. NICHOLS CANYON looks the best of the Mullins pair, and they are likely to be well ahead of the English challengers. The odds of 4/1 on Nichols Canyon look very generous.
2:05 RSA Novices Chase (3-miles & 110 yards)
Again, you are looking for a horse with at least 3 chase starts and at least 9 NH starts (don't included NH Flat races). Experience here is the key to finding the winner, but you don't want to side with a top-class hurdler - no winner in 23 years had been placed in a Graded or Listed hurdle over a trip less than 2m3f
Yet another Mullins novice, this time a chaser in Don Poli. However, I think he will come unstuck in this race due top lack or experience. It won't be The Young Master (not shown he's up to this class), nor Kings Palace (who ran a stinker here last year), but by SOUTHFIELD THEATRE. This horse was just beaten in the 3-mile Pertemps Final handicap hurdle last year, and since then he's done nothing wrong. He looks an tremendous chaser in the making and odds of 15/2 with Paddy Power are great eachway value.
2:40 Coral Cup handicap hurdle
Not a great race for me and I'll maybe come back to this later.
It is not unusual for horses carrying big weights to do well in this race.
You need to look for a horse on the upgrade, preferably with no more than 3 runs this season.
Unusually, this is a race for which a runner needs to come into off a long break, ie more than 45-days.
3:20 Queen Mother Champion Chase (2-miles)
Much will be written about this race, but for me I'm sticking with SPRINTER SACRE. His run LTO was on a par with the effort from Sire De Grugy, yet the manner in which they raced was very different. Of the others, there is some interest for Champagne Fever who could run them ragged if he's in the form of his Arkle 2nd last year. However, odds of 7/2 look far too big about SPRINTER SACRE.
SPRINTER SACRE, £10 win @ 7/2
Note: I have already struck an antepost wager for £20 @ 11/4 on SPRINTER SACRE