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Saturday, 3 February 2018

Saturday 3rd February

I've not posted a blog this week, but the racing has been mediocre - even yesterday.  Today we have a few interesting races at meetings at Sandown, Wetherby and Musselburgh as well at the "Dublin Festival" at Leopardstown in Ireland.

At Sandown there is a 3-mile Class 2 handicap chase at 3:35pm which is right up my street.  Most of the runners are very familiar to me with considerable chase form to study.  At times like this I rely of my personal ratings, and the horse that comes to the for is COGRY.  He's been running well and so long as his run LTO over 3m5f hasn't taken too much out of him, he should go close today.  Personally, I think that most of the horses in this race have been running below their ratings, and some are stepping up to 3-mile for the first time, or just lack chasing experience at this level. At odds of 11/1, COGRY represents decent eachway value (quarter-odds a place 1,2,3).

Earlier on the Sandown card there is a 2-mile Class 2 handicap chase at 1:15pm and there are only 6 runners.  I was on Big Jim LTO and he could well try and make-all like he did that day but that will likely set the race up for one of the better chasers and if TOP GAMBLE handles this right-handed track then he looks great value at 4/1, as he is a proper class act at this trip - just below top grade.

The race I am really looking forward to today is in Ireland, at Leopadstown at 2:20pm and I reckon PETIT MOUCHOIR will see-off Footpad and install himself as the best 2-mile novice chaser seen this season. There was not much between this pair as hurdlers, but PETIT MOUCHOIR always finished in front of Footpad and I reckon that will be the case today.

My 3 for today:
Sandown 1:15pm TOP GAMBLE, £10 win @ 4/1
Sandown 3:35pm COGRY, £5 eachway @ 11/1
Leopardstown 2:20pm PETIT MOUCHOIR, £10 win @ 3/1

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