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Record of the blog selections

Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.

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Saturday, 27 February 2021

Countdown to the Cheltenham Festival - Saturday 27th Feb (17 days to go)

Saturdays usually brings a lot of visits to the blog, and if this is you first time here lets me tell you a little bit about myself. As per the headline above, I've been writing a horseracing blog since March 2010, nearly 11 years. For the first 7 years, I recorded my advised wagers (the results pages per season are on the right), and as per the summary at the top of the blog, for jump racing I advised wagers on 520 races over those 7 seasons, basically 75 wagers per season, and the cumulative advised stakes were £5,726 (or £11.01 per race) and the total profit recorded was £1,525.39; which is equivalent to a Return on Investment of 26.60%.

Why did I stop recording my wagers? Keeping up with the form-study and maintaining a regular blog (I was posting 3 or 4 times a week during the jumps season) was too time-consuming.  While I was enjoying it for a lot of that time, eventually putting in the hours (I reckon I was spending over 20 hours a week maintaining the blog) became a chore.

So, for the 2017-18 season, and ever since then, I've written just a Saturday blog for information and enjoyment, and concentrated my wagers on the Cheltenham Festival, and the Aintree Grand National meeting.  Last year, just to remind you, the Profit for the Festival was £99.16 on cumulative "advised" stakes of £186.00. That is equivalent to a Return on Investment of 53.3%.  This is to advised stakes, and I know a lot of my readers place wagers in multiples of what I advise, so they had a very good Cheltenham Festival indeed!  For the record, my advised wagers last year were:-

Day 1 - Tuesday

Arkle Novice Chase: Selection - Cash Back LOST (£10.00)
Ultima Handicap Chase: Selection - Mister Malarky LOST (£10.00)
Ultima Handicap Chase: Selection - Quarenta LOST (£4.00)
Ultima Handicap Chase: Selection - THE CONDITIONAL - WON - £54.00 (Stake = £5 ew @ 9/1)
Champion Hurdle: Selection - Ballyandy LOST (£10.00)
Champion Hurdle: Selection - Cornerstone Lad LOST (£10.00)
NH Chase: Selection - Lord Du Mesnil LOST (£10.00)
Carried Forward = £4.00 profit
Staked = £64.00

Day 2 - Wednesday

RSA Novice Chase: Selection - Copperhead LOST (£20.00)
Cross Country Race: Selection - EASYSLAND - WON - £35.00 (Stake - £10 win @ 7/2)
Days profit = £15.00
Staked = £30.00 (cumulative = £94.00)
Carried forward = £19.00 profit

Day 3 - Thursday
Marsh Novices Chase: Selection - Itchy Feet LOST (£10.00)
Ryanair Chase: Selection - MIN - WON - £25.00 (Stake = £10 win @ 5/2)
Ryanair Chase: Selection - Frodon LOST (£2.00) - "saver" wager
Handicap Chase 2m4f: Selection - Spiritofthegames LOST (£10.00)
Mares' Hurdle: Selection - CONCERTISTA - WON - £22.50 (Stake = £5 win @ 9/2 SP)
Kim Muir handicap chase: Selection - BOB MAHLER - 3rd  - £13.00 (Stake = £5 ew @ 18/1)
Days profit = £38.50
Staked = £47.00 (Cumulative = £141.00)
Carried forward = £57.50 profit

Day 4 - Friday
Triumph Hurdle: Selection - Goshen LOST (£10.00) - fell when clear at the final flight
Gold Cup: Selection - AL BOUM PHOTO - WON - £66.66 (Stake = £20 win @ 100/30)

Gold Cup: Selection - Delta Work LOST (£5.00) - "saver" wager
Foxhunters Chase: Selection - Shantou Flyer LOST (£10.00)
Days Profit = £41.66
Staked = £45.00 (Cumulative = £186.00)
Profit for the Week = £99.16
Return on Investment = 53.3%

This year, because of Covid, I'm doing things a bit differently and producing an antepost wagers portfolio.  So on the days of the Festival it is likely that my wagers will already have been placed.
These are my current wagers and for the narrative behind them, please refer to previous blogs posted. I have endeavoured to go "non-runner, no-bet" (NRNB) whenever possible.

Day-1: Supreme Novices Hurdle: 
Selection: DREAL DEAL - £5 ew and £10 win = £20 staked @ 20/1 NRNB with Skybet

Day-1: Mares Hurdle:
Selection: DAME DE COMPAGNIE - £5 ew and £5 win = £15 staked @ 14/1 NRNB with Paddy Power  

Day-1: Champion Hurdle & Mares Hurdle double:

Champion Hurdle: CONCERTISTA @ 10/1 NRNB; and

Mares' Hurdle: DAME DE COMPAGNIE @ 14/1 

Double: £5 ew = £10 staked with Paddy Power

Day-1: NH Chase (Novices):
Selection: LATEST EXHIBITION - £10 win @ 8/1 with William Hill (other bookies offer NRNB at much shorter odds)

Day-3: Stayers Hurdle:
Selection: FLOORING PORTER - £7.50 ew and £5 win = £20 staked @ 14/1 NRNB with Paddy Power

Day-3: Ryanair Chase:
Selection: MELON - £5.00 ew and £5.00 win = £15 staked @ 9/1 NRNB (Boylesport or Betfred)

Day-3: Ryanair Chase & Stayers Hurdle double:
Ryanair Chase: MELON @ 9/1 NRNB; and
Stayers Hurdle: FLOORING PORTER @ 12/1 NRNB
Double: £2.50 ew = £5 staked with Boylesports

Short odds accumulator:

Mares' Hurdle - Concertista @ 6/4

Brown Advisory Novice Chase - Monkfish @ 5/6

Champion Chase - Chancun Pour Soi @ 5/6

Cross-Country Race - Easysland @ 2/1


Final selection in 4 x £3 win trebles and a £3 win accumulator = £15 staked:

Concertista / Monkfish / Chancun Pour Soi / Easysland

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