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Record of the blog selections
Profit for the 2016-17 Jumps Season = £84.38
from wagers on 26 individual selections (4 winners, 6 placed)
Total Staked = £280.00
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advising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.
Friday, 9 October 2015
Henryville a horse with potential
The blog selections continued the good start to the jumps season on Wednesday with the 3rd profitable day from 4 “tip-days” so far this season. As per the Selection Log page (on the right), profit is currently at £36.96 on total stakes of £50.00 – that’s a 73% Return on Investment.
I thought we came very close to a winner on Wednesday with Dreamsoftheatre, the only ride of top Irish jockey Barry Geraghty. For that reason alone, I could not understand why the horse drifted in the betting from 9/2 in the morning to an SP of 7/1. The horse was given an exemplary ride by Geraghty, who was obviously aware that the horse may not have the stamina to last the trip, and coaxed along to be given every chance approaching the 2nd-last fence. Unfortunately, stamina was running low at that point and the horse hit the 2nd-last fence hard. Without that mistake, I think he may well have taken the spoils as the winner was also running on fumes and wandered all over the track on the run-in from the final fence, but managed to hold off our selection.
As for the other selection, I was right about the race as there was little depth to the runners in terms of stamina at this 3-mile trip. Unfortunately, the pace looked slow for the first couple of miles and when it quickened up for the final mile, our selection was given too much to do. Even so, she stuck-on to be 3rd and the eachway double was landed.
Today, there is a sole jumps meeting at Newton Abbot. The key race of the meeting is at 3:35pm which is a 2m5f “intermediate” chase and, under the terms of the race, there is very little to split the runners. As such, it is no surprise that 4 of the 6 runners are at odds of either 7/2 or 4/1. If I was asked to put my head on the block and plump for just one, it would be Henryville as altho’ he’s only had the one chase race, he was easily the best of these over hurdles and has improved rapidly over the past 18 months. But really, it would not surprise me if any of the 6 in this race won, and so no wager is recommended.
There are some cracking races planned for the weekend over the jumps, and let’s keep the powder dry and be patient.
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