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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Friday 14 January 2011

Antepost advice for the King George

Yesterday I wrote that HOBBS DREAM would take all the beating, and I was right. Unfortunately, I did not post it up as a selection! My advice was to see if you could get 7/2 or longer (it being 5/2 at the time of posting the blog). I noted that the odds on the horse drifted to 100/30 about 15 mins before the race, so if any of you readers took that then well done to you. Once Shannon’s Boy fell at the 5th – and he was the only realistic opposition to the horse – the rest was a mere formality and HOBBS DREAM won by 24-lengths having been clear before 2-out.

Today’s racing at Musselburgh and Huntingdon looks uninspiring, so I’m giving it a miss completely and looking ahead to Saturday’s tremendous cards at Kempton, Warwick and Wetherby.

The rescheduled King George takes place at Kempton and is the headline event on a 9-race card. Before that is the rescheduled Christmas Hurdle which sees the Champion Hurdle 1st & 2nd meet head-to-head for the first time since. I really cannot see Kyber Kim reversing places with Binocular, nor can I see Starluck holding off Binocular, now that the latter has the benefit of a seasonal debut. For me 2/1 Binocular looks fair value.

In the King George, there is no way I can oppose Kauto Star, but the race for 2nd place will be very interesting. Last year it was filled by Madison Du Berlais, but he seems to have lost the plot since then. I am convinced that Long Run does not stay 3-mile at this level, so I cannot have him. Ditto, Forpadydeplasterer, who has not won beyond 2m2f despite many efforts. I’m not sure what Riverside Theatre is doing in this race seeing as he looks potentially Henderson’s Ryanair entry – can’t have him. The one I like the look of is PLANET OF SOUND who outstayed Nacarat LTO behind Imperial Commander, and that looks the best form on offer here. Odds of 20/1 (Tote, Stan James) at quarter-odds a place 1-2-3 look very generous as, other than Kauto Star, the only other horse likely to beat him is The Nightingale, but that’s a big “if” and I’m not convinced about that one.

ANTEPOST for the King George (15th January)
PLANET OF SOUND, ½pt each way @ 20/1 (Tote or Stan James)

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