Welcome to the World of Horseracing

Record of the blog selections

Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.

THIS IS A BOOKIES ADVERT FREE ZONE

There are NO affiliate links on this site to bookies from whom the author receives over 30% of the stakes from your lost wagers.ising selections on which to wager, since March 2010.

Tuesday 18 January 2011

Celebrations tonight at the Eight Bells?

Anna Newton-Smith who trains at Jevington (near Eastbourne) in Sussex (if your down that way, take in the Eight Bells pub, fantastic view over the South Downs, and pictures of Anna’s horses line the walls) only ever has winners at her local tracks of Plumpton, Folkestone, Lingfield and Fontwell – and at Plumpton and Fontwell she has very respectable strike-rates with her chasers. As such, you cannot ignore her two entries at Folkestone today; PEAT THE FEAT in the 3:10 and PORTRAIT ROYALE in the 3:40. When Felix de Giles rides it means her horses should be taken seriously.

At Southwell, in the opening race at 1:00, KING JACK could take the spoils. Not the best of jumpers, he should appreciate these smaller obstacles. He has been off 301 days, and has needed a run in the past, but even so he looks on a handy mark when you look at the race he won at Huntingdon last February. He does not stay 3-mile, so his next run can be ignored. But LTO, he was going well for a long way till giving-up before 2-out. With several race-fit and consistent rivals in the race, on reflection the current odds of just 6/1 are not generous enough to warrant a wager.

When Jason Maguire rides for Kim Bailey, take notice. He’s won 9 of 32 rides (28%) for Bailey this season, and 7 of those wins have come from just 20 hurdle races (35%). As such, his booking to ride MAX BYGRAVES in the 3:00 at Southwell is interesting. The downside is that MAX BYGRAVES is trying 3-mile for the first time (never run beyond 2m5f before) and the going is also on the soft side for the horse. Again, current odds of 11/2 are not generous to make this horse a selection, in fact at those odds I’d be more inclined to make him a place-lay and lay him at under 2.30 as, apart from the jockey booking, there is little to recommend the horse in this race.

Thanks for reading this blog to all new visitors.

The blog takes a lot of effort to maintain and I hope that readers of the blog get enjoyment from it too. If you have had a successful wager on the back of what you’ve read here, then please make a contribution as an expression of thanks. Feel free to tell those who you think may find the blog of interest and value and, if you are a regular visitor, please add the blog to your list of favourites.
Thanks from Wayward Lad

3 comments:

  1. Good shout on Max I felt he'd run really well today alas not to be and a place lay must have been nice.

    ReplyDelete
  2. No firm selections, but the narrative on the blog put you in the money if you were brave enough. As I expected, with the going against him MAX BYGRAVES was unable to stay the 3-mile trip. With Jason Maguire in the saddle, the office punters latched on and his odds tumbled from 11/2 (he was 8/1 in the RP betting forecast) to an SP of just 7/2 which - given his stamina doubts and known aversion to soft going - was plain ridiculous. Never an odds-on chance to be in the 1st-3, this was a place-lay bonanza.
    Just 10 mins later, PETE THE FEAT romped home at Folkestone at the generous odds of 11/4 (he touched 100/30). He was just 7/4 in the RP BF and I thought he'd start shorter than that, hence not being put up as a selection.
    Cheers for the comment Kejiskeen.

    ReplyDelete
  3. btw Wayward, any chance of being added to your blogroll? I've already got you on mine.

    http://kejiskeen.wordpress.com/

    Kind Regards,

    ReplyDelete

Note: only a member of this blog may post a comment.