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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Tuesday 14 May 2013

Only Fools Rush In

The run-up to the Derby at Epsom on the 1st Saturday in June is probably the most interesting for me of the entire flat season. Following the Guineas meeting at Newmarket on the 1st weekend in May, we have 4-weeks of reputation building horse-racing at the Roman-walled cities of Chester and York. This week, it is the turn of York with 3 tremendous days of racing centred around the Dante Derby "trial" starting on Wednesday.

Firstly tho', a look-back at Saturday's selection GREGORIAN which was just beaten a "head" at the decent odds of 3/1. Having watched the race several times, it seemed that the selection may have needed the race; or at least another half-furlong. The winner, Eton Forever, ran right up to his best in my opinion, and only just held on. His performance gives form of the race some substance. I'd be hoping to recoup the loss on GREGORIAN next-time-out, especially if stepped-up to a mile. I will also be following ETON FOREVER, tho' I doubt he'll be going to Royal Ascot this summer as he's probably far too high in the ratings for the Royal Hunt Cup (handicap) but he possibly isn't quite good enough to be competitive in something like the Group 1, Queen Anne Stakes.

I will be waiting until Thursday and the Group 2 Middleton Stakes for fillies over a mile & 2-furlongs before I have my 1st wager of the week. The Group races on Wednesday – the Musidora (Gp3) and the Duke Of York (Gp2) – will certainly fall under my inspection but, as things stand, it's unlikely that I will wager in either of them. There is plenty of time to place wagers and if you want to make long-term profits from horseracing, it is best to bide your time (only fools rush in). Thursday's card at York looks very good as following the Middleton Stakes, we have the Dante and then the Hambleton Stakes over a mile which is a "Listed" handicap.

The Weekender published tomorrow (Wednesday) will have the form for these races and so I'll have plenty of time to decide on a wager.

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Thanks from Wayward Lad

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