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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Friday 17 May 2013

The Yorkshire Cup

No blog posted before racing yesterday, it was written but due to internet problems I couldn’t post it online, but I did declare my selection for the day in DALKALA in the morning when at odds of 11/4. The mare went on to win in good style at an SP of 2/1.

Today at York, there is only one race that I want to consider:-

York 2:45
The Yorkshire Cup (Group 2) over 1-mile & six furlongs
There are only 8 runners for this race as Cavalryman is a non-runner.
The favourite is the French raider Top Trip, but I’m not convinced by this horse. He seems to me to be a very one-paced horse and, tho’ he’s consistent and a high-class performer, he lacks the gears at the business end of the race to win it. I’m also not convinced that the LTO performance of the 2nd-fav Quiz Mistress puts her in the frame for this race. As such, we could be looking at a decent wager opportunity if I am right to discount the market leaders. Guarantee, the winner of the Melrose h’cap over C&D last season, would be my idea of the winner of this race if he hadn’t run such a stinker LTO when finishing well behind Quiz Mistress.  Trainer Ed Dunlop won this race last year, and this year he runs Joshua Tree who will love the trip and should handle the soft ground well. He does not have the benefit of a run tho’ and he took a few runs to come to hand last season. That leads me to SIR GRAHAM WADE who did not seem to stay the 2-mile at Ascot LTO and will really appreciate dropping back to today’s 1m6f. He never stopped improving last season winning 6 times in all and he should run up to his mark of OR107 today, if not better than that. If he does, he’ll be hard to beat. Of the others, I don’t think “Ebor” 2nd Royal Diamond will be far away, but having to concede 4lb to SIR GRAHAM WADE should prove beyond him. Both Glen’s diamond and A Boy Named Suzi look outclassed.

SIR GRAHAM WADE is currently 11/2 across the board and he seems to be a rock-solid eachway wager should I prove to be wrong about the market leaders, as I cannot see him being outside the 1st-3 home. Bet365 go quarter-odds a place 1,2,3; whereas other companies are fifth-odds.

Selection: SIR GRAHAM WADE, ½pt eachway @ 11/2 (Bet365, ¼-odds a place 1,2,3, Best Odds Guaranteed)

I’m exploring posting my selections via an alternative website / email service for the flat season – tho’ I will be keeping the blog going. It will be a subscription service, but the costs will be low and there will be other tipsters contributing plus a ratings service included. Hopefully, I’ll be able to provide more information on Saturday.

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