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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Monday 14 March 2016

A time for quiet reflection and dreams of what might be

It is the week of the Cheltenham Festival, and let’s hope the cold blast of air that greeted me when I stepped outside this morning is blowing through the bookies satchels later this week.
I  spent a large part of Sunday looking through the runners for the opening day of the Festival but with 57 still entered in the 3m1f Ultima Handicap Chase on Tuesday working out which will be lining-up at the start is a tricky enough job, let alone finding the winner.
I will have to wait until the overnight declarations are released later today and spend the afternoon looking through the form.

Before that, Saturday’s selection DAWSON CITY ran a belter, and I thought he may be about to win as they ran towards the final fence, but then he was impeded by the loose horse and was virtually brought to a halt.  The eventual winner Mosspark was 2nd in the same race last year and he ran on strong so it’s unlikely that Dawson City would have caught and passed him; but we can out fairly unscathed.

For those on the email list, I will be sending out a draft of the final blog for tomorrow later on this evening, so keep the phone close to learn of the email landing.

We have some great racing ahead and it is unlikely that we will have Mullins winning so many on the opening day as he did last year.  I will be opposing MIN in the opening “Supreme” novices hurdle, as I feel he may not have the experience in what looks a good year for novice hurdlers. I’ve spotted one that is long-odds that looks worthy of a small wager.

I am looking forward to seeing DOUVAN, and he looks the likely winner of the Arkle but his odds are silly – far too short at 2/5.  There must be value in the “without Douvan” market.  The Champion Hurdle looks wide open, and I’m also looking at a long-odds wager in that race.

That’s it for now.  We’ve put together a mighty “bank” over the course of the season to go to war with and “fingers-crossed” we will come out on Friday with an even bigger one.

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