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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Friday 4 March 2016

TOP WOOD a cracking 9/1 winner for the blog

What a cracking result for the blog yesterday when our patience was rewarded with a solid win from the only selection of the day, TOP WOOD at an SP of 9/1 – yes, that’s 9/1.

As I wrote yesterday, TOP WOOD looks a lot better than his OR133 rating, it’s just that he hadn’t shown that form in his last couple of races.  Afterwards, I read the words of trainer David Pipe who changed the headgear on the horse (from a hood to blinkers) and he thought that may have been the answer to keep his mind on the job.  I made TOP WOOD a selection as I knew he’d stay the 3-mile trip on the ground, yet most of his rivals either didn’t stay or were unproven at the trip; and the fav was an unproven novice chaser. Although 7/1 in the morning, I expected TOP WOOD to start either the joint-fav at about 5/2, but no longer than 3/1 – yet for some unknown reason he drifted to an SP of 9/1 (actually touched 10/1) and was 12/1 on the exchanges! Just before the off, I doubled my stake on the exchanges as I thought the odds were just silly. Considering the horse virtually made every yard and ran the rest of the field into the ground (most pulled-up and he had the race won over 3 fences out) what I couldn’t understand was why the horse touched 20’s on the exchanges in-running!

Whatever, (as they say) you are only as good as your last tip, and that’s a 9/1 winner.

There is some racing today with meetings at Doncaster and Newbury, but neither meeting looks like providing a wagering opportunity.  So I will wait to see what tomorrow brings as there are some cracking handicap chases on Saturday.

Just a couple of housekeeping points: as I’ve just changed my work location and I’m travelling into London on the train, I’m writing my blog on the way into the office.  As such, there may be an earlier posting of the blog to those on the email list – keep a look out.  Also, one of my donators on the email list reported that the blog email I sent out went into his junk mail folder and he missed the 9/1 winning selection yesterday.  If you are on the email list, make sure that you have confirmed that the blog emails are identified as from a secure sender.

Finally, this is going to be a big month with first the Cheltenham Festival and then (in early April) the Aintree Festival culminating in the Grand National. Fortune favours the brave!

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