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Between March 2010 and April 2017, this blog recommended wagers on 520 individual races on Jump Racing in the UK, resulting in a PROFIT of £1,525.39 on cumulative stakes of £5,726 - this is equivalent to a Return On Investment of 26.60%.


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Thursday 10 March 2011

Some Festival snippets

Another tremendous day for the blog yesterday, despite not putting up a solid selection. The only horse mentioned RAPID INCREASE, who is also on the Horse Alert list, romped home winning by 16-lengths very easily at the exceptionally generous odds of 6/1 in this 6-horse race. He’d been battling thru’ the mud on his previous 2 runs (pulled-up LTO) but on this better going he was a class above these. I wrote beforehand he was a potentially 130+ chaser with a full brother on OR125 and a half-bro’ on OR141 and boy, did he show it yesterday. The result was never in doubt from the off when he ran with enthusiasm, and I had doubled-up my stake before they jumped the 2nd-fence (the joys of in-running punting). The 2nd-placed horse Topless is a consistent one-paced plodder who almost certainly ran 100+ (IMO, he ran to 106) and that makes RAPID INCREASE’s performance 132. The handicapper will probably raise him about 10lb for this, but he should be well capable of a follow-up.

This result is as a benefit of studying the results and marking-up horses with potential from the Weekender results pull-out produced every Wednesday. This week, the Weekender has been fully revised and I reckon it’s the best £2.50 any follower of the horses can spend.

So far this week, I’ve mentioned 5 horses on the blog and, had you placed an eachway bet on all of them, only one would not have resulted in a positive return. What I cannot work out is that with over 500 twitter followers (and I tweet the moment I update my blog page) I had only 213 page views yesterday, of which only 114 happened before the start of the race I reviewed (the 3:30 at Fontwell). As the saying goes; you can lead a horse to water, but you can't make it drink!

There are some good meetings today at Wincanton, Carlisle and Folkestone, but I’m not finding any value. The only horse that looks of interest is the infamous ROMNEY MARSH who was ridden to a finish a circuit early LTO by Hadden Frost. He runs in the 4:30 at Folkestone. Clearly, his last run can be ignored but what interests me is the last time Mattie Bachelor was in the saddle (I like Mattie, he rode Vamizi at Exeter on Tuesday and this is his only ride today) the horse was 2nd to Aztec Treasure at Towcester. That was on good going, which is what he’ll be on today, and trainer Roger Curtis is 3 wins from 13 chase runs here.

In the past 14-days, Alan King has sent out 10 “favs” and only 2 have won. His stable is not doing well and I am happy to lay his short-priced runners such as Midnight Appeal (3:35 Wincanton) and Management (4:40 Wincanton).

Festival thoughts with the 4-day declarations for Tuesday now available. A few snippets of interest:-

In the Supreme Novices Hurdle, Cue Card goes for this and not the Champion Hurdle. It may be a foregone conclusion, but there are still the places to go for and the only mare in the race MEGAN’S STAR, unbeaten and a 6yo, fits the bill.

In the Arkle, I am surprised that Mikael d’Haguenet is still in the race, but the rumours are he’ll go for the RSA later in the week.

For the Stewart Family H’cap chase, I reckon Nicky Henderson is having a good go this year, and he has 2 entries that tick the boxes; Carole’s Legacy and Quantitativeeasing. Of the 2, it’s CAROLE’S LEGACY who was 2nd to Quevega in the Mare’s Hurdle last year that interests me the most. She is quality. However, if a couple more come out, then I’m having a good punt on THE RAINBOW HUNTER. Game as they come, he jumps like a stag, stays all day and, on just 10st 3lb, he’ll be a devil to beat.

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Thanks from Wayward Lad

1 comment:

  1. Yes, it does make me wonder what people read on Twitter. Sure with your selections going well it will attract more readers. Keep up the good work.